Oct 8, 2018

Amid dire warnings, global carbon emissions expected to climb

Carbon dioxide emissions are on track to rise in 2018 for the second straight year following a plateau in 2014-2016, according to the International Energy Agency.

Why it matters: IEA's finding arrived as a United Nations science panel unveiled a major report concluding that large emissions cuts are needed in coming years to hold global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius above preindustrial levels.

By the numbers: According to the UN's analysis, staying within the 1.5°C target — a benchmark for avoiding far more severe consequences than are already occurring — means human-induced CO2 emissions must fall by 45% by 2030 and reach "net zero" by mid-century.

  • The 45% cut is relative to 2010 levels, which in effect means even deeper reductions are needed.

The big picture: Separate analyses in recent months have shown that energy-related CO2 emissions — that is, the vast majority of global CO2 — ticked up again in 2017 after a multi-year plateau.

IEA's new 2018 projection underscores how the global energy system is far, far off track from the gigantic and rapid transformation that the UN's deeply researched analysis calls needed to stay within the 1.5°C target.

  • "The world is not moving towards Paris Agreement goals requiring emissions to peak as soon as possible, but away from them," IEA Executive Director Fatih Birol said via Twitter.

The bottom line: As Axios' Andrew Freedman wrote, global warming will have far more severe consequences if temperatures are allowed to creep past 1.5°C, or 2.7°F, of warming, scientists concluded in the UN analysis.

They noted that there are already deadly impacts from the 1°C, or 1.8°F, of warming so far — including more severe and longer lasting heat waves, more heavy precipitation events, and ocean warming that is killing many of the planet's coral reefs.

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Mass shooting in Milwaukee: What we know so far

Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett in 2012. Photo: John Gress/Corbis via Getty Images

Six people died in a shooting at the Milwaukee Molson Coors brewery complex on Wednesday, including the shooter, Mayor Tom Barrett told reporters at an evening press conference with local police.

What's happening: Police said "there is no active threat" just before 6 pm ET, but noted the scene remains active. Police chief Alfonso Morales told reporters that officers have "more than 20 buildings we have to secure" at the complex and they do not currently have all employees accounted for, as more than 1,000 were at the complex during the shooting.

Go deeperArrowUpdated 4 mins ago - Politics & Policy

Trump assigns Pence to lead U.S. coronavirus response

Photo: ANDREW CABALLERO-REYNOLDS/AFP via Getty Images

President Trump announced at a press briefing Wednesday evening that he'll be putting Vice President Mike Pence in charge of leading the administration's response to the coronavirus.

The big picture: In the wake of a market sell-off and warnings from health officials that there's a real threat of the coronavirus spreading in the U.S., Trump sought to reassure the nation and Wall Street that the U.S. is "ready" for whatever comes next.

Go deeperArrowUpdated 1 hour ago - Politics & Policy

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