Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Photo: Alex Wong/Getty Images

Minutes from the Federal Reserve's December policy meeting back the trend of continued retreat from tightening monetary policy highlighted yesterday. The minutes did suggest the Fed's policymakers are split between two camps, but those appear to be Dovish and More Dovish.

Details: The minutes showed FOMC members largely agreed that the balance sheet rundown is likely to end in the second half of 2019. Nearly all top officials at the meeting agreed that the central bank should announce "before too long" details of a new plan to stop reducing the balance sheet later this year.

What they're saying: The FOMC meeting minutes included 13 mentions of the word "patient," and according to the minutes, there were a "variety of considerations that supported a patient approach," Yahoo Finance's Heidi Chung notes.

  • Furthermore, "a patient posture would allow time for a clearer picture of the international trade policy situation and the state of the global economy to emerge and, in particular, could allow policymakers to reach a firmer judgment about the extent and persistence of the economic slowdown in Europe and China."

What they're not saying: "The question is still whether to hike or not — we have yet to arrive at the 'when or how much to cut' stage of the cycle," BMO Capital Markets' rate strategist Ian Lyngen said in a note to clients.

  • Lyngen also points out that the word "recession" has been completely absent from the last three minutes, despite the fact that live tracking of the Cleveland and New York Fed's models put the probability of a contraction in the next 12 months between 25% to 30%, near post crisis highs.

Go deeper

Congress' next moves to rein in Big Tech

Illustration: Eniola Odetunde/Axios

After grilling the CEOs of Amazon, Facebook, Google and Apple last week, members of Congress are grappling with whether to accuse any of the firms of illegal anticompetitive behavior, to propose updating federal antitrust laws — or both.

The big picture: Congress is just one arm of government making the case against these companies. Google is expected to be the first of the firms to face possible antitrust litigation from the Justice Department before summer's end, but all four face a full-court press of investigations by DOJ, the Federal Trade Commission and state attorneys general.

Fauci: Coronavirus task force to examine aerosolized spread

A sneeze. Photo: Maartje van Caspel/Getty Images

The White House coronavirus task force will examine more closely just how much SARS-CoV-2 might be transmitted via aerosols, and not just from droplets, NIAID director Anthony Fauci said Wednesday at an online forum sponsored by Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health.

Why it matters: The longer the coronavirus can remain infectious in the air, the more likely it can infect people, particularly indoors — leading to the possible need to alter air filtration and circulation within buildings.

The next wave to hit Main Street

Illustration: Eniola Odetunde/Axios

Call it the great retail wash. A wave of defaults, bankruptcies and evictions expected in cities across the U.S. is poised to remake the retail landscape across the country, but there may be some upside for consumers and small businesses.

Why it matters: Rather than an overnight descent into a collection of urban wastelands full of Starbucks, Amazon fulfillment centers, Chase bank branches and nothing else, the coronavirus pandemic and resulting retail apocalypse may just mean that, in major U.S. cities, less is more.