Experts disagree on the pace of electric vehicle adoption

This chart from BP's big outlook yesterday provides a look at how their greatly increased projection of global EV adoption stacks up against some other major forecasts:

Reproduced from BP Energy Outlook 2018; Chart: Axios Visuals

Why it matters: The contrasting outlooks show how even experts in the field can differ significantly about how quickly the electrification of transport will unfold. The pace of EV adoption is among the factors that will dictate how quickly global oil demand eventually peaks and declines, which by turn affects global carbon emissions.