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German Chancellor and CDU chair Angela Merkel with future CDU chair candidate Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer. Photo: Thomas Lohnes/Getty Images

Angela Merkel is calling it quits as chair of Germany’s Christian Democratic Union (CDU), after heading the center-right party for 18 years, and a vote at Friday’s party convention in Hamburg will determine the next CDU chair.

Why it matters: The victor will be positioned to succeed Merkel as chancellor and influence whether she stays or bows out before her term ends in 2021.

Background: Although known for her caution, Merkel has been a shrewd disrupter of the German party system and has moved the CDU to the middle of the political spectrum.

  • Under her watch, Germany has abolished military conscription, accelerated the phaseout of nuclear power, admitted more than a million migrants in 2015, and established a minimum wage.

But these changes have led to hand-wringing in the CDU over the loss of conservative positions.

  • Merkel’s reliance on the other major party, the Social Democrats (SPD), to build three of four coalitions has caused the SPD to free fall in the polls and prompted competition from smaller parties.
  • The far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) has also become the largest opposition party in the federal parliament and holds seats in all of Germany’s 16 state legislatures.

Three candidates are vying to win a majority of the 1,001 delegate votes. The top two contenders represent two different directions for the party.

  • Known as “Merkel 2.0,” Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer (AKK) has Merkel’s blessing and would stay the course.
  • Friedrich Merz, the chancellor’s rival from political contests past, would push the party to the right. Merz recently won a key endorsement from elder statesman and former finance minister Wolfgang Schaeuble.
  • In the event of a run-off, the third candidate, current health minister Jens Spahn, may also throw his support to Merz to push him over the finish line.

The bottom line: The race between AKK and Merz will be seen as a bellwether of Germany’s political future — and a test of whether the CDU can ultimately weaken the AfD and strengthen the European Union. If Merz prevails, it would also be harder for Merkel to hang on until the end of her term, because of a potential clash in personalities and Merz's likely eagerness for a snap election while he is still a quasi-fresh face.

Sudha David-Wilp is a senior transatlantic fellow and deputy director of the German Marshall Fund’s Berlin office.

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DOJ: Capitol rioter threatened to "assassinate" Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Supporters of former President Trump storm the U.S. Captiol on Jan. 6. Photo: Kent Nishimura / Los Angeles Times via Getty Images

A Texas man who has been charged with storming the U.S. Capitol in the deadly Jan. 6 siege posted death threats against Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.), the Department of Justice said.

The big picture: Garret Miller faces five charges in connection to the riot by supporters of former President Trump, including violent entry and disorderly conduct on Capitol grounds and making threats. According to court documents, Miller posted violent threats online the day of the siege, including tweeting “Assassinate AOC.”

Schumer calls for IG probe into alleged plan by Trump, DOJ lawyer to oust acting AG

Jeffrey Clark speaks next to Deputy US Attorney General Jeffrey Rosen at a news conference in October. Photo: Yuri Gripas/AFP via Getty Images.

Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) on Saturday called for the Justice Department inspector general to investigate an alleged plan by former President Trump and a DOJ lawyer to remove the acting attorney general and replace him with someone more willing to investigate unfounded claims of election fraud.

Driving the news: The New York Times first reported Friday that the lawyer, Jeffrey Clark, allegedly devised "ways to cast doubt on the election results and to bolster Mr. Trump’s continuing legal battles and the pressure on Georgia politicians. Because Mr. [Jeffrey] Rosen had refused the president’s entreaties to carry out those plans, Mr. Trump was about to decide whether to fire Mr. Rosen and replace him with Mr. Clark."