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AP Photo / J. Scott Applewhite

The Congressional Budget Office has delivered some extremely bad news to Senate GOP leaders. Under their health care bill, an estimated 22 million fewer people would have health insurance than under the status quo — almost as big a drop as the House bill.

CBO's projections will make it much harder for Republicans to pass a bill this week — if at all.

  • Coverage: Over the next 10 years, 22 million fewer people would have health insurance under the GOP bill than under the status quo. The House bill would cover 23 million fewer people, per CBO.
  • Premiums: They'd increase for the next two years, but would ultimately be about 20% lower than under current law.
  • Deductibles: An average plan would carry an annual deductible of about $6,000, comparable to some of the least generous plans offered today.
  • Federal spending: The bill would save the federal government $321 billion over the next 10 years — largely thanks to Medicaid cuts that CBO says would add up to $772 billion over the next decade.

Go deeper

Updated 35 mins ago - Politics & Policy

Coronavirus dashboard

Illustration: Eniola Odetunde/Axios

  1. Health: Most vulnerable Americans aren't getting enough vaccine information — Fauci says Trump administration's lack of facts on COVID "very likely" cost lives.
  2. Education: Schools face an uphill battle to reopen during the pandemic.
  3. Politics: Biden unveils "wartime" COVID strategyBiden's COVID-19 bubble.
  4. Vaccine: Florida requiring proof of residency to get vaccine — CDC extends interval between vaccine doses for exceptional cases.
  5. World: Hong Kong puts tens of thousands on lockdown as cases surge — Pfizer to supply 40 million vaccine doses to lower-income countries.
  6. Sports: 2021 Tokyo Olympics hang in the balance.
  7. 🎧 Podcast: Carbon Health's CEO on unsticking the vaccine bottleneck.
Bryan Walsh, author of Future
4 hours ago - Health

Schools face an uphill battle to reopen during the pandemic

Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios

President Biden's plan to accelerate the reopening of K-8 schools faces major challenges from a still out-of-control pandemic and more contagious coronavirus variants.

Why it matters: The longer American kids miss in-person schooling, the further they fall behind. But the uncertain state of the science on the role young children play in the pandemic continues to complicate efforts to reopen schools.

Focus group: Former Trump voters say he should never hold office again

Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

"Relief" is the top emotion some swing voters who used to support Donald Trump say they felt as they watched President Biden's swearing-in, followed by "hope."

Why it matters: For voters on the bubble between parties, this moment is less about excitement for Biden or liberal politics than exhaustion and disgust with Trump and a craving for national healing. Most said Trump should be prohibited from ever holding office again.