May 26, 2017

Battle lines drawn on climate deal

President Trump will soon decide on whether the U.S. will stay in or withdraw from the 2015 global climate deal struck in Paris. Here is where his allies and enemies stand on the issue:

Chart: Chris Canipe / Axios

Inside the Trump administration

  • Why they matter: They're the decision-makers and before it comes down to Trump, it comes down to them. They're the ones being influenced by all sides by outside interests and by each other within the administration.
  • Their limitations: One thing everyone inside the White House can agree on is that the ultimate decision will come down to whatever Trump wants, and we've learned by now his decision-making is unpredictable.
Outside Trump administration
  • Why they matter: This group is the most diverse, ranging from interest groups to companies to world leaders. It's likely to prove the most influential group outside the White House because of potential direct impact: Companies whose businesses could be affected by a global climate deal, and the world leaders whose own participation in that deal could wane without U.S. leadership. They'll all be trying to get Trump on the phone.
  • Their limitations: They have a lot of other issues grabbing their attention, and most of these interests are rising above a constant drumbeat of the climate deal, whose impacts are far-reaching but not immediate.
Inside Congress
  • Why they matter: Congress always matter, to a point anyway, and they can channel the concerns of interest groups and voters.
  • Their limitations: They have a lot of issues demanding their attention too, particularly healthcare and tax overhaul efforts. This Congress has generally shown less interest in this issue compared to other policies on Trump's agenda, and the president might find them easy to ignore those he disagrees with.

Go deeper

Europe's climate hawks split with U.S. vision on Green New Deal

European Commission President Ursula Von Der Leyen. Photo: Nicolas Economou/NurPhoto via Getty Images

An interesting Bloomberg piece compares the European Union's newly unveiled climate proposals with the Green New Deal that's in vogue in American progressive circles on the left.

The intrigue: There's a lot there, but at one point the authors wonder whether the multitopic focus of the Green New Deal — which tackles health care, job and wage guarantees — will make it tougher to implement than the European Green Deal.

Go deeperArrowDec 17, 2019

10 energy and climate issues to watch in 2020

Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

From presidential politics to China to oil prices, here’s what I’m watching this year.

The big picture: A few key decisive moments this year will help determine whether concerns over climate change — rising since my last two annual outlook columns — will translate into action that would transform our global energy system.

Go deeperArrowJan 6, 2020

Imagining Bernie Sanders' energy-related Cabinet officials

Bernie Sanders at a rally this month. Photo: David McNew/Getty Images

A new Politico magazine story that imagines Bernie Sanders as president lists potential Cabinet officials if he won — including the climate activist Bill McKibben at EPA and Washington Gov. Jay Inslee as energy secretary.

Why it matters: This is putting the cart way, way, way, before the horse, but it gets at an important (if obvious) thing: personnel will matter a lot in the next administration.

Go deeperArrowDec 18, 2019