You're probably in for a warmer-than-usual fall
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Don't get those heavy coats out of the closet just yet: Most of the U.S. is probably in for a warmer-than-usual fall.
Why it matters: As ready as some of us may be for the season of Mr. Autumn Man, above-normal temperatures may hang around just a bit longer, according to the National Weather Service's seasonal temperature outlook for September through November.
- And that comes after a nearly record-setting month: This past August was Earth's third-warmest on record going back to 1850, per NOAA, which notes that the 10 warmest Augusts have all come since 2015.
Driving the news: Chances of above-normal temperatures are especially high in the Northeast, Southwest and parts of Florida.
- That doesn't necessarily mean it'll be hot — just hotter than what's typical for this time of year in any given area.
Zoom in: Dry soil, below-normal precipitation forecasts and long-term temperature trends are informing forecasters' predictions for above-normal temperatures in the Southwest, per the Climate Prediction Center (CPC).
- In the Northeast, forecasters are considering similar long-term temperature trends, as well as above-normal sea surface temperatures in the area.
Yes, but: Above-normal precipitation "may offer some cooler periods during the season" in Florida, the CPC says.
What's next: Forecasters are also calling for above-normal temperatures during the November-January period for much of the country, though predictions could change over time.
Go deeper: It's not just you: Summer is sticking around longer
