Nov 4, 2019
N.Y. Fed forecast: U.S. Q4 GDP growth to fall to 0.8%
The New York Fed's GDP projection model predicted U.S. growth would slow to 0.8% in the fourth quarter.
Why it matters: If correct, it would be the weakest quarter since Q4 2015 and put the economy well off the pace of 2018's 2.9% annual growth.
- However, prior to Q3's on-the-nose prediction of 1.9% quarterly growth, the N.Y. Fed's nowcasts haven't been especially accurate.