Oct 3, 2017

Warren Buffett explains the bull market

AP Photo/Nati Harnik, File

Warren Buffett this morning told CNBC that the stock markets continue to climb, in large part, because of low interest rates:

Interest rates are gravity.

Context: The Federal Reserve cut the federal funds rate to effectively nothing in December 2008, as a response to the financial crisis. It has since climbed to 1.25%, but that's still well below historic norms and not nearly enough to push yield-hungry investors out if public equities.

More from Buffett:

  • Waiting game: "Everybody expects interest rates to change, but they've been expecting it quite a while."
  • Future math: "If three years from now interest rates are 100 basis points higher, then the stocks-- stocks will still look cheap at these prices. If they're 300 or 400 basis points, they won't look cheap."
  • Taxes: "It'd be kinda foolish to have a gain now and pay 35% tax on it if by waiting a few months you were likely to pay 25%.
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