Jan 25, 2017

What else is behind the Trump stock rally

The S&P 500 has surged 5.4% since election day. It's the "Trump Rally."

But a closer look at the individual companies that are driving the stock market surge, and broader economic data, paint a more complicated picture:

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Data: Money.net; Chart: Andrew Witherspoon / Axios

Sure, investors like what Trump's saying: Corporate tax cuts, less regulation, and infrastructure spending will all be good for corporate profits. But Trump is not the only game in the global economy.

Other drivers of the rally include:

  1. A stronger dollar: While this hurts multinationals who do business in foreign countries, a stronger dollar generally means that American companies are more valuable relative to foreign assets.
  2. Signs of life abroad: China has long-term problems, but the government there has been able to prop up growth for the time being. Even Europe is perking up, with Germany announcing this month that 2016 growth was the fastest in five years.
  3. Agriculture companies: They're benefiting from being oversold in 2015 and 2016 out of fears of a global slowdown. But developing economies have kept their heads above water, and everyone's gotta eat.

Go deeper

Bernie's juggernaut

Sen. Bernie Sanders speaks in San Antonio last night with his wife, Jane. Photo: Eric Gay/AP

Sen. Bernie Sanders won so big in the Nevada caucuses that Democrats are hard-pressed to sketch a way he's not their nominee.

Driving the news: With 60% of precincts counted (slow, but better than Iowa!), Sanders is running away with 46% of delegates — crushing Joe Biden's 20%, Pete Buttigieg's 15%, Sen. Elizabeth Warren's 10% and Sen. Amy Klobuchar's 5%.

Go deeperArrowUpdated 2 hours ago - Politics & Policy

Buttigieg campaign claims Nevada caucuses were "plagued with errors"

Photo: Win McNamee/Getty Images

Pete Buttigieg's campaign wrote a letter on Sunday asking the Nevada State Democratic Party to release early vote and in-person vote totals by precinct and address certain caucus errors identified by campaigns, The Nevada Independent reports.

The big picture: The campaign alleges that the process of integrating early votes on caucus day was “plagued with errors and inconsistencies,” and says it received more than 200 incident reports from precincts around the state.

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Coronavirus threat grows, threatening some drug supplies

Data: The Center for Systems Science and Engineering at Johns Hopkins, the CDC, and China's Health Ministry. Note: China numbers are for the mainland only and U.S. numbers include repatriated citizens.

As the novel coronavirus continues spreading globally and China grapples with a limited production capability, there's a growing risk to about 150 prescription drugs in the U.S., sources tell Axios.

The big picture: The coronavirus has spread to more countries, with both South Korea and Italy stepping up emergency measures amid rising case numbers on Sunday. COVID-19 has killed at least 2,467 people and infected almost 79,000 others, mostly in mainland China.

Go deeperArrowUpdated 3 hours ago - Health