The S&P 500 has surged 5.4% since election day. It's the "Trump Rally."

But a closer look at the individual companies that are driving the stock market surge, and broader economic data, paint a more complicated picture:

(function () { var attempt = 0, init = function(){ if (window.pym) { var pymParent = new pym.Parent("g-increase-01-box", "https://graphics.axios.com/2017-01-25-stocks-increase/increase-01.html", {}); } else if (attempt++ & 40) { setTimeout(init, 50); } }; init(); })();

Data: Money.net; Chart: Andrew Witherspoon / Axios

Sure, investors like what Trump's saying: Corporate tax cuts, less regulation, and infrastructure spending will all be good for corporate profits. But Trump is not the only game in the global economy.

Other drivers of the rally include:

  1. A stronger dollar: While this hurts multinationals who do business in foreign countries, a stronger dollar generally means that American companies are more valuable relative to foreign assets.
  2. Signs of life abroad: China has long-term problems, but the government there has been able to prop up growth for the time being. Even Europe is perking up, with Germany announcing this month that 2016 growth was the fastest in five years.
  3. Agriculture companies: They're benefiting from being oversold in 2015 and 2016 out of fears of a global slowdown. But developing economies have kept their heads above water, and everyone's gotta eat.

Go deeper

Updated 5 hours ago - Politics & Policy

Coronavirus dashboard

Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios

  1. Global: Total confirmed cases as of 9 p.m. ET: 20,755,406 — Total deaths: 752,225— Total recoveries: 12,917,934Map.
  2. U.S.: Total confirmed cases as of 9 p.m. ET: 5,246,760 — Total deaths: 167,052 — Total recoveries: 1,774,648 — Total tests: 64,831,306Map.
  3. Politics: House Democrats to investigate scientist leading "Operation Warp Speed" vaccine projectMcConnell announces Senate will not hold votes until Sept. 8 unless stimulus deal is reached.
  4. 2020: Biden calls for 3-month national mask mandateBiden and Harris to receive coronavirus briefings 4 times a week.
  5. States: Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp to drop lawsuit over Atlanta's mask mandate.
  6. Business: Why the CARES Act makes 2020 the best year for companies to lose money.
  7. Public health: Fauci's guidance on pre-vaccine coronavirus treatments Cases are falling, but don't get too comfortable.

Trump says he intends to give RNC speech on White House lawn

President Trump speaking to reporters on South Lawn in July. Photo: Jabin Botsford/The Washington Post via Getty Images

President Trump told the New York Post on Thursday that he plans to deliver his Republican National Convention speech from the White House lawn, despite bipartisan criticism of the optics and legality of the location.

Why it matters: Previous presidents avoided blurring staged campaign-style events — like party conventions — with official business of governing on the White House premises, per Politico.

Fauci's guidance on pre-vaccine coronavirus treatments

Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios

Antibody drugs and various medicine cocktails against the coronavirus are progressing and may provide some relief before vaccines.

The big picture: Everyone wants to know how and when they can return to "normal" life, as vaccines are not expected to be ready for most Americans for at least a year. Two therapies are known to be helpful, and more could be announced by late September, NIAID Director Anthony Fauci tells Axios.