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Data: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta; Chart: Harry Stevens/Axios

U.S. GDP growth in the second quarter is expected to come in significantly below first quarter growth, as the impact of the Tax Cut and Jobs Act fades.

The big picture: It would be the weakest quarter of U.S. growth since Q4 2015.

  • This year's Q2 growth is also expected to show far less inventory investment than Q1, which got a boost of 0.65% from a $46.3 billion inventory buildup by U.S. firms. Government spending was seen as slower in Q2.
  • Last year's second quarter also showed significant growth, rising 4.2% year-over-year, which was the strongest quarter in nearly 4 years.

Go deeper: The global push to reinvent GDP

Go deeper

Felix Salmon, author of Capital
14 mins ago - Economy & Business

How equity became more attractive than debt

Illustration: Annelise Capossela/Axios

The prime example of something highly improbable that became conventional wisdom: The idea that both interest rates and inflation will remain near zero for well over a decade.

Why it matters: As Axios' Dan Primack writes, private equity firms (the polite rebranding of "leveraged buyouts") have historically bought companies and loaded them up with debt.

Felix Salmon, author of Capital
17 mins ago - World

When society faces the unprecedented

Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios

Our febrile world is not normal.

The big picture: The precautions that we're taking against the spread of COVD-19; the way in which the president of the U.S. delights in violating political norms; the fires, hurricanes and other signs that catastrophic global warming has arrived; the virulent spread of the QAnon conspiracy theory — all of these things, and many more, represent a stunning break with the world as we knew it.

Updated 3 hours ago - Politics & Policy

Coronavirus dashboard

Illustration: Eniola Odetunde/Axios

  1. Global: Total confirmed cases as of 11 a.m. ET: 34,026,003 — Total deaths: 1,015,107 — Total recoveries: 23,680,268Map.
  2. U.S.: Total confirmed cases as of 11 a.m. ET: 7,237,043 — Total deaths: 207,008 — Total recoveries: 2,840,688 — Total tests: 103,939,667Map.
  3. Health: New poll shows alarming coronavirus vaccine skepticism — New research centers will study "long-haul" COVID — Coronavirus infections rise in 25 states.
  4. Business: Remdesivir is good business for Gilead.
  5. Transportation: The politics of pandemic driving.
  6. 🎧Podcast: The looming second wave of airline layoffs.

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