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Rebecca Zisser / Axios

After the healthcare failure wrecked Trump's first 100 days, Jared Kushner, Steve Bannon and Reince Priebus — all neophytes at pushing legislation through Congress — are surveying the next phase of legislation more guardedly.

If they fail again on the scale of healthcare, at least one, and maybe even two, of this troika would be terminated. (Hint: It's not Jared.) A source the President trusts tells me Trump is "over" Reince and it wouldn't take much more than a hiccup for Trump to fire him.

Five landmines in their near future:

  1. Healthcare: Trump insists Trumpcare isn't dead. He played golf today with Budget Director Mick Mulvaney and the man who most enthusiastically trashed Trumpcare the first time around — Sen. Rand Paul. But the moderate Tuesday Group and the conservative House Freedom Caucus remain divided on policy, and distrust each other. As for Democrats: Trump will soon learn, if he hasn't already, that Nancy Pelosi won't help him.
  2. Tax reform: Ryan loves the border adjustment tax, and so does Steve Bannon, but most House conservatives and the vast majority of Republican senators don't. The Speaker says he needs the $1 trillion in revenue the BAT would raise to pay for transformational tax cuts; so if he can't get it, then how does he proceed? There's still no agreement on what the cuts look like or even whether they need to be paid for.
  3. The CR: The government runs out of money on April 29, with the expiration of the continuing resolution. House conservatives don't want to fund Planned Parenthood and the Obamacare insurance company subsidies. Democrats, meanwhile, will fight to block funding for Trump's border wall. And Trump wants $18 billion in cuts below current government funding levels, which neither Ryan nor the Senate can deliver on. Those disputes could easily shut down the government.
  4. Debt ceiling: Conservatives spent their six years in the majority demanding Obama deliver dollar-for-dollar cuts for any debt ceiling increase. They got sequestration in the first round, and not much else, but that doesn't mean they'll lay down for a Republican president on a clean debt ceiling increase. Expect another showdown pitting the House Freedom Caucus against Trump and Ryan.
  5. Spending all over again in October: However Republicans untangle government funding at the end of April, they've got to do this all over again in the fall. If Congress can manage a continuing resolution in April that doesn't cut Planned Parenthood and health insurer subsidies, conservatives will spend the next five months planning for the next showdown. Again, there are no good answers, and no Republican unity in sight.

Go deeper

Updated 16 mins ago - Politics & Policy

Inauguration Day dashboard

Biden delivers his inaugural address on the West Front of the Capitol. Photo by Tasos Katopodis/Getty Images

President Biden has delivered his inaugural address at the Capitol, calling for an end to the politics as total war but warning that "we have far to go" to heal the country.

What's next: The Celebrate America event, with remarks by Biden and Harris.

Bryan Walsh, author of Future
40 mins ago - Politics & Policy

President Biden faces a deeply broken America

Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios

As President Biden begins his term in office today, he'll be tasked with leading a country beset with deep, long-term problems.

Why it matters: Though the pandemic has made them worse, existential challenges around inequality, social alienation and political division in the U.S. were in place well before SARS-CoV-2 arrived on American shores. The country's future will depend in large part on whether the choices made over the next four years can flatten the curve of American decline.

Facebook, Instagram transfer accounts, followers to Biden administration

Screenshot of official White House Facebook account.

Facebook on Wednesday confirmed that it is transferring the millions of followers of the official Facebook and Instagram White House accounts to the Biden administration.

Details: The accounts for "@POTUS," "@VicePresident" ("@VP" on Instagram) and "@FLOTUS" are having the followers from their personal Pages and accounts be transferred over. It's unclear when that transition process will be complete.