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Evan Vucci / AP

Donald Trump will not give a definitive blanket endorsement to the House GOP's Obamacare replacement plan in his speech to Congress tonight, according to sources familiar with the speech. The view internally is that the current plan — drafted by both House and Senate leadership — is going to struggle to get out of Congress. It would be foolish for Trump to walk all the way down the plank and utter the sentence: "I support the health care plan drafted by the House."

What Trump is expected to do: Signal a receptivity to the House plan, especially to the key concept of tax credits. This is a win for House and Senate leadership, especially Speaker Paul Ryan.

Who loses: Conservative hardliners, who as recently as Tuesday afternoon were saying they won't support a draft of the GOP proposal leaked last week. One of their biggest concerns is the inclusion of refundable tax credits, which they're branding as a new entitlement program.

What to watch: Whether this changes anything. House Freedom Caucus Chairman Mark Meadows told us this afternoon that if leadership pushes ahead with the current plan, he isn't caving. "I am not going to go along with something that harms my constituents just so I can say that I've supported something that has a different name than Obamacare," he said.

Ok, but: Meadows already figured this was the administration's position — Department of Health and Human Services Secretary Tom Price helped write the plan as a House chairman last year. He said there's room for negotiation. "It's the detail in how we implement that and the way we pay for that that becomes problematic," Meadows said of the leaked plan.

Go deeper

Updated 2 hours ago - Energy & Environment

Bomb cyclone prompts blizzard warnings from Virginia to Maine

Computer model projection showing the intense storm off of Cape Cod on Jan 29, 2022, with heavy snow and strong winds lashing the coastline. (Weatherbell.com)

Blizzard warnings are in effect for 11 million people from coastal Virginia to eastern Maine as a historic winter storm is set to slam the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast beginning Friday.

Why it matters: The storm will bring hazards ranging from zero visibility amid hurricane force wind gusts and heavy snow, to coastal flooding that will erode vulnerable beaches and threaten property from the Jersey shore to coastal Massachusetts.

Updated 3 hours ago - Politics & Policy

Omicron dashboard

Illustration: Shoshana Gordon/Axios

  1. Health: Contact tracing fizzles across America — New clues emerge on long COVID — Omicron is finally burning out — It's very difficult to get access to antiviral COVID treatments — Axios-Ipsos poll: Omicron's big numbersAnother wave of death — FDA limits use of Regeneron and Lilly antibody treatments.
  2. Vaccines: Pfizer begins clinical trial for Omicron-specific vaccine — The shifting definition of fully vaccinated.
  3. Politics: Virginia AG says public colleges can't mandate COVID vaccines —Alaska governor joins Texas lawsuit over National Guard vaccine mandate — Navy discharges 45 sailors for refusing vaccine — Spotify to remove Neil Young's music after his Joe Rogan ultimatum — White House: 60M households have ordered free COVID-19 rapid tests.
  4. World: U.K. to lift travel testing requirement for fully vaccinated — Beijing Olympic Committee lowers testing threshold ahead of Games.
  5. Variant tracker
6 hours ago - World

Biden will move U.S. troops to Eastern Europe "in the near term"

President Biden boards Air Force One at Joint Base Andrews on Jan. 28. Photo: SAUL LOEB/AFP via Getty Images

President Biden said on Friday he plans to move U.S. troops to Eastern European and NATO countries “in the near term.”

Driving the news: “Not too many” U.S. troops, Biden added in remarks to reporters at Joint Base Andrew upon returning from a trip to Pennsylvania. 

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