Dec 7, 2017

Trump strategy working: ACA enrollment falling

At the end of last week, with 13 days left to go in open enrollment, roughly 3.6 million people had signed up for coverage through HealthCare.gov. About 5.6 million more would need to sign up by Dec. 15 to match last year's enrollment totals. That is almost certainly not going to happen.

Quick take: Of course, Trump's cuts to enrollment outreach are also a major factor here.

Note: Data includes partial weeks. The 2018 open enrollment window is Nov. 1 to Dec. 15, 2017. The 2017 window was Nov. 1, 2016 to Jan. 31, 2017; Data: Artificial Intelligence Index; Chart: Chris Canipe / Axios

Don't forget: Enrollment is down this year, in part because open enrollment is shorter this year. But cutting the sign-up window to six weeks was initially the Obama administration's idea — it had proposed switching over to a Nov. 1–Dec. 15 window next year but President Trump moved that timeline up to this year.

Insurers also liked the idea of a shorter enrollment period, hoping it would stop people from waiting until they got sick to buy coverage.

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Americans are moving less

Data: Census 2019 Current Population Survey Annual Social and Economic Supplement; Chart: Danielle Alberti/Axios

Fewer than 10% of Americans moved to new places in the 2018-2019 year, the lowest rate since the Census Bureau began tracking domestic relocations in 1947.

Why it matters: Despite a strong economy, more people are feeling locked in place. Young adults, who have historically been the most mobile, are staying put these days thanks to housing and job limitations. So are aging adults who are reluctant to (or can't afford to) make a move.

Focus group: These Obama/Trump voters are just Trump voters now

Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios

SAGINAW, Mich. — Some swing voters here who voted for Barack Obama and then Donald Trump are firmly in Trump’s camp now — and they're sick of impeachment.

Why it matters: The two-plus hour conversation revealed major warning signs for the Democratic Party in a crucial swing county that will be a pivotal area to win in 2020.

Go deeperArrowDec 16, 2019

Elizabeth Warren's campaign says it raised $21.2 million in Q4

Photo: Scott Eisen/Getty Images

Elizabeth Warren's 2020 presidential campaign said Friday that it raised $21.2 million during 2019's fourth quarter.

Why it matters: It's a disappointing haul for the Massachusetts senator, who raised $24.6 million last quarter, and coincides with a sustained drop in her polling after she briefly challenged Joe Biden for frontrunner status in October.

Go deeperArrowJan 3, 2020