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Study: Trump rule will cut ACA enrollment by 3 million

Association health plans were part of President Trump's executive order on health care. Photo: Jabin Botsford/The Washington Post via Getty Images

Roughly 3.2 million people will likely switch from Affordable Care Act coverage into newly expanded “association health plans,” according to an analysis from the consulting firm Avalere. Most of them would be leaving the ACA’s marketplace for small businesses, rather than for individuals.

Why it matters: The repeal of the individual mandate will draw a few million people out of ACA coverage. Separate administrative actions, a few million more. And the 3 million from association health plans, on top of that. Each of those policies may not be fatal to the ACA on their own, but they're cumulative.