On Wednesday afternoon, President Trump tweeted a graph from his personal account showing Medicaid spending under the Republican Senate health bill.

There's a story behind that tweet: In the Oval Office on Wednesday, Marc Short, the White House Legislative Affairs director, showed Trump a piece of paper with the graph of Medicaid spending pointing up. Trump wanted to tweet it, according to a source told about the meeting.

Why it matters: The graph doesn't show the other side of the Medicaid changes: the fact that spending would go down compared to current law, which is how Senate Republicans get $772 billion in savings. That's the whole point of the new spending limits.

This is all part of a broader White House strategy: They want to change the way it's presented in the media to help sway some of the Senate Republican holdouts.

  • For the longest time, Republicans in all branches of government failed to frame the argument over Medicaid in terms of the Medicaid dollars going up. Some in the administration had concluded it was an argument they couldn't win. But a number of officials saw they were getting killed every day in the press, with reports of the billions being cut out of Medicaid. Some officials wanted to aggressively reframe the argument as a growth in spending — and a slowing of the growth rate under Obamacare rather than a raw "cut."
  • Even at this late stage, the White House believes it's crucial to change the media narrative. A number of officials believe that some crucial senators are more heavily swayed by media coverage than they are by the substance of the cuts to the Medicaid spending under the Affordable Care Act.

HHS Secretary Tom Price has been making this argument, and tweeted a similar graph of Medicaid spending on Tuesday:

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Trump commutes Roger Stone's sentence

Roger Stone arriving at his sentencing hearing on Feb. 20. Photo: Drew Angerer/Getty Images

President Trump on Friday evening commuted the sentence of his longtime associate Roger Stone, according to two senior administration officials. Stone in February was sentenced to 40 months in prison for crimes including obstruction, witness tampering and making false statements to Congress.

Why it matters: The controversial move brings an abrupt end to the possibility of Stone spending time behind bars. He had been scheduled to report to prison on July 14.

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Data: COVID Tracking Project and state health department data compiled by Axios; Map: Danielle Alberti and Naema Ahmed/Axios

13 states this week surpassed records set just last week for their highest number of coronavirus infections in a single day, according to the COVID Tracking Project and state health department data. 16 states in total reported new highs.

The big picture: The United States' alarming rise in coronavirus cases isn't just due to increased testing — particularly where the number of cases has grown fastest over the last month, Axios' Andrew Witherspoon and Caitlin Owens report.

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Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

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