Oct 8, 2018

The GOP's gender gap problem

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Adapted from Mehlman Castagnetti Rosen & Thomas via NBC/WSJ; Chart: Axios Visuals

This was a striking graphic in a recent slide deck by Bruce Mehlman of Mehlman Castagnetti Rosen & Thomas. It shows how rapidly women have drifted away from the Republican Party since the 2016 election — opening up a lopsided preference for Democrats to control Congress in just the last few months.

Why it matters: The Brett Kavanaugh confirmation fight isn't likely to help. And with men preferring Republicans by a narrower margin — 47% to 44% in the September NBC/WSJ poll — the graphic is a vivid illustration of the troubles ahead if the GOP alienates women voters.

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Women outpace men on U.S. payrolls

Data: Bureau of Labor Statistics; Note: Men count was derived by subtracting women count from total; Chart: Andrew Witherspoon/Axios

There are more women on American payrolls than men as of the latest U.S. jobs report.

Why it matters: The data reflects a hiring boom in industries that are female-dominated, while sectors that are more likely to employ men are lagging in job gains. The last time women overtook men in payrolls was “during a stretch between June 2009 and April 2010,” according to the Wall Street Journal, which first reported the milestone.

Go deeperArrowJan 10, 2020

2024 lookahead poll: GOP voters eye Trump dynasty

Data: Online SurveyMonkey poll (Margin of error: ±2.5 percentage points). Chart: Axios Visuals

Ready to skip 2020 and go straight to 2024? In a SurveyMonkey poll for Axios, Republican voters chose children of President Trump — Don Jr. and Ivanka — as two of the top four picks for president in four years.

  • Why it matters: An early poll like this is largely a measure of name ID. But it's also a vivid illustration of just how strong Trump's brand is with the GOP.
Go deeperArrowUpdated Jan 4, 2020