Andrew Harnik / AP

House Speaker Paul Ryan's not wrong when he says there are "encouraging" things for Republicans in the Congressional Budget Office Trumpcare estimates. But there's even more bad news buried within the report, too. Here are a few of the smartest expert takes out this morning.

  • Avik Roy, a conservative health care analyst who has been critical of the bill, agrees that some of the estimates are better than expected, noting in Forbes that CBO thinks the bill "would result in a relatively stable nongroup market." He also highlights its estimate of $337 billion in net deficit reduction.
  • The liberal Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, however, warns that "millions will pay substantially higher premiums due to large cuts in tax credits that outweigh the slight decrease in average premiums."
  • Stanford University's Lanhee Chen, a member of the Axios board of experts, writes for CNN that the report is good news for conservatives because of the deficit reduction and long-term decrease in premiums — but warns that Republicans may have to change the bill to win moderates by boosting the coverage.
  • At the Health Affairs blog, Timothy Jost, a legal expert and Obamacare supporter, writes that one of the most alarming estimates is that "millions — CBO does not say how many — of low-income, older people would lose coverage ... because they could no longer afford it after the age rating ratio and premium tax credits changed."

Go deeper

Updated 37 mins ago - Politics & Policy

Coronavirus dashboard

Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios

  1. Politics: Americans feel Trump's sickness makes him harder to trustFlorida breaks record for in-person early voting — McConnell urges White House not to strike stimulus deal before election — Republican senators defend Fauci as Trump escalates attacks.
  2. Health: The next wave is gaining steam.
  3. Education: Schools haven't become hotspots — University of Michigan students ordered to shelter-in-place.
  4. World: Ireland moving back into lockdown — Argentina becomes 5th country to report 1 million infections.

Trump threatens to post "60 Minutes" interview early after reportedly walking out

Trump speaks to reporters aboard Air Force One, Oct. 19. Photo: Mandel Ngan/AFP via Getty Images

President Trump tweeted on Tuesday that he was considering posting his interview with CBS' "60 Minutes" prior to airtime in order to show "what a FAKE and BIASED interview" it was, following reports that he abruptly ended the interview after 45 minutes of taping.

Why it matters: Trump has escalated his war on the media in the final stretch of his re-election campaign, calling a Reuters reporter a "criminal" this week for not reporting on corruption allegations about Hunter Biden and disparaging CNN as "dumb b*stards" for the network's ongoing coronavirus coverage.

2 hours ago - Politics & Policy

McConnell urges White House not to strike stimulus deal before election

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell. Photo: Stefani Reynolds/Getty Images

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) has urged White House negotiators not to cut a deal with Democrats on new coronavirus stimulus before the election.

Driving the news: McConnell informed Senate Republicans of the move at a closed-door lunch on Tuesday, two people familiar with his remarks tell Axios. McConnell's remarks were first reported by the Washington Post.