Mar 14, 2017

The good and the bad in the CBO report

Andrew Harnik / AP

House Speaker Paul Ryan's not wrong when he says there are "encouraging" things for Republicans in the Congressional Budget Office Trumpcare estimates. But there's even more bad news buried within the report, too. Here are a few of the smartest expert takes out this morning.

  • Avik Roy, a conservative health care analyst who has been critical of the bill, agrees that some of the estimates are better than expected, noting in Forbes that CBO thinks the bill "would result in a relatively stable nongroup market." He also highlights its estimate of $337 billion in net deficit reduction.
  • The liberal Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, however, warns that "millions will pay substantially higher premiums due to large cuts in tax credits that outweigh the slight decrease in average premiums."
  • Stanford University's Lanhee Chen, a member of the Axios board of experts, writes for CNN that the report is good news for conservatives because of the deficit reduction and long-term decrease in premiums — but warns that Republicans may have to change the bill to win moderates by boosting the coverage.
  • At the Health Affairs blog, Timothy Jost, a legal expert and Obamacare supporter, writes that one of the most alarming estimates is that "millions — CBO does not say how many — of low-income, older people would lose coverage ... because they could no longer afford it after the age rating ratio and premium tax credits changed."

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U.S.-led coalition in Iraq withdraws from 3rd base this month

A soldier stands guard at the Qayyarah airbase in southern Mosul on March 26. Photo: Murtadha Al-Sudani/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images

The United States-led coalition in Iraq withdrew from K-1 Air Base in the northern part of the country on Sunday, AP reports.

Why it matters: It's the third site that coalition forces have left this month as the U.S. gathers troops in Baghdad and at Ain al-Asad Air Base.

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Coronavirus dashboard

Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

  1. Global: Total confirmed cases as of 8 a.m. ET: 679,977 — Total deaths: 31,734 — Total recoveries: 145,625.
  2. U.S.: Leads the world in cases. Total confirmed cases as of 8 a.m. ET: 124,686 — Total deaths: 2,191 — Total recoveries: 2,612.
  3. Federal government latest: Trump announces new travel advisories for New York, New Jersey and Connecticut, but rules out quarantine enforcement. Per CDC, those residents should "refrain from non-essential domestic travel for 14 days," with the exception of critical infrastructure industry workers.
  4. State updates: Alaska issues a stay-at-home order — New York tries to nearly triple hospital capacity in less than a month and moved presidential primary to June 23. Some Midwestern swing voters who backed Trump's initial handling of the virus balk at call for U.S. to be "opened up" by Easter.
  5. World updates: In Spain, over 1,400 people were confirmed dead between Thursday to Saturday.
  6. 🚀 Space updates: OneWeb filed for bankruptcy amid the novel coronavirus pandemic.
  7. What should I do? Answers about the virus from Axios expertsWhat to know about social distancingQ&A: Minimizing your coronavirus risk
  8. Other resources: CDC on how to avoid the virus, what to do if you get it.

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The year of the protest meets the year of the lockdown

Hong Kong demonstrators protest a government ban on face masks in October. Photo by Laurel Chor/Getty Images

The year of the mass uprising has collided with the year of the coronavirus lockdown, leaving protest movements around the world stalled. 

The big picture: The enduring images of 2019 are of protest — from Hong Kong to Khartoum, across the Middle East and through much of Latin America. Seemingly overnight, though, social distancing has made such mass demonstrations almost unthinkable.

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