J. Scott Applewhite, Evan Vucci / AP

Steve Bannon and Paul Ryan will never be drinking buddies. And they'll probably never agree on immigration policy. But they're seeing eye-to-eye on a crucial area of policy and happy to let the world know. (Just see these stories in The Hill and Breitbart, with headlines touting their newfound accord.)

The Bannon-Ryan Common Ground: A tax reform plan. Specifically, the border adjustment plan that would raise tax imports.

Bannon has told associates he believes the evolving Ryan-Trump tax reform program "is a strong American nationalist program." Attaching Ryan's plan to the word "nationalist" is the highest praise Bannon can dole out. When he was chairman of Breitbart, Bannon viewed Ryan as a "globalist" enemy intent on undermining American sovereignty through open borders and free trade.

Why it Matters: The fact that Trump's chief strategist believes the tax plan is following nationalist principles means it has a better chance of success. Ryan is seizing the opportunity. In private meetings with Bannon and senior staff, the Speaker has described the border adjustment plan as "responsible nationalism," according to someone in the room when the Speaker said this.

Ryan and Bannon are, in a limited way, talking the same language. Ryan is making the pitch that the border adjustment policy — the key to funding Republican tax reform — would level the playing field for American jobs and American-made goods. He's using the language of Trump's populist movement.

But their unity has limits: There's no sign these two have — or will ever — come together on either trade or immigration, but tax policy is a different story. Seeing eye-to-eye on tax reform has allowed for a slight thawing in the personal relationship between Bannon and Ryan. But don't believe anyone who tells you they're becoming buddies. Says a source close to Ryan: "It's fair to say they have agreed on our tax plan and made a connection over this particular issue."

What's Next? Trump has given mixed signals on border adjustment. He trashed the idea to the Wall Street Journal last Friday. But a few days later he told us that he wasn't so opposed to it after all. It wouldn't surprise us if Trump ultimately backs the plan.

Read the Axios Facts Matter on border adjustment

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Data: Axios/Ipsos poll; Note: ±3.0% margin of error for the total sample; Chart: Andrew Witherspoon/Axios

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Why it matters: This could pose a significant disadvantage for Joe Biden and other Democratic candidates in November if the pattern holds — especially in states where high infection rates persist, or where there are significant hurdles to mail-in, absentee or early voting.

Trump: Coronavirus is "under control"

President Trump said in an interview with “Axios on HBO” that he thinks the coronavirus is as well-controlled in the U.S. as it can be, despite dramatic surges in new infections over the course of the summer and more than 150,000 American deaths.

  • “They are dying, that's true. And you have — it is what it is. But that doesn't mean we aren't doing everything we can. It's under control as much as you can control it. This is a horrible plague,” he told Axios' Jonathan Swan.
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Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

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  4. Politics: White House will require staff to undergo randomized testing — Pelosi says Birx "enabled" Trump on misinformation.
  5. Sports: 13 members of St. Louis Cardinals test positive, prompting MLB to cancel Tigers series — Former FDA chief says MLB outbreaks should be warning sign.
  6. 1 🎥 thing: "Tenet" may be the first major film to get a global pandemic release.