Feb 3, 2017

The 10 Trump-state Democrats most likely to fold on Gorsuch

If Mitch McConnell doesn't nuke the senate, Neil Gorsuch will need help from 8 Democrats to get confirmed to the Supreme Court. There are 23 Democrats up for re-election in 2018 and 10 of them are in states that voted for Trump, making them the most likely candidates to back the president's pick. The closer a senator is to the bottom right part of this scatterplot, the more vulnerable they might be. These Democrats had slim victory margins in 2012 and Trump cleaned up last year in their home states.

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Data: Dave Leip's Election Atlas, U.S. Senate

Why this might NOT matter: If McConnell invokes the nuclear option (here's our Facts Matter on that), then Gorsuch can sail through with just GOP support.

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John Kelly defends James Mattis against Trump attacks

John Kelly in the White House in July 2017. Photo: Cheriss May/NurPhoto via Getty Images

Former White House chief of staff John Kelly defended James Mattis on Thursday after President Trump attacked the former defense secretary as "the world's most overrated general" and claimed on Twitter that he was fired.

What he's saying: “The president did not fire him. He did not ask for his resignation,” Kelly told the Washington Post in an interview. “The president has clearly forgotten how it actually happened or is confused."

Barr claims "no correlation" between removing protesters and Trump's church photo op

Attorney General Bill Barr said at a press conference Thursday that there was "no correlation" between his decision to order police to forcibly remove protesters from Lafayette Park and President Trump's subsequent visit to St. John's Episcopal Church earlier this week.

Driving the news: Barr was asked to respond to comments from Defense Secretary Mark Esper, who said Tuesday that he "did not know a photo op was happening" and that he does everything he can to "try and stay out of situations that may appear political."

Updates: Cities move to end curfews for George Floyd protests

Text reading "Demilitarize the police" is projected on an army vehicle during a protest over the death of George Floyd in Washington, D.C.. early on Thursday. Photo: Yasin Ozturk/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images

Several cities are ending curfews after the protests over the death of George Floyd and other police-related killings of black people led to fewer arrests and less violence Wednesday night.

The latest: Los Angeles and Washington D.C. are the latest to end nightly curfews. Seattle Mayor Jenny Durkan tweeted Wednesday night that "peaceful protests can continue without a curfew, while San Francisco Mayor London Breed tweeted that the city's curfew would end at 5 a.m. Thursday.