2020 election polls

Enthusiasm for Elizabeth Warren surges in new 2020 poll

Elizabeth Warren rally in New York
Elizabeth Warren speaks during a rally in Washington Square Park in New York City, Sept. 16. Photo: Drew Angerer/Getty Images

2020 candidate Sen. Elizabeth Warren has surged 6% since July in a new WSJ/NBC poll of 506 Democratic primary voters, breaking out from the rest of the field to secure her spot in 2nd place (25%) behind former Vice President Joe Biden (31%).

The big picture: Despite polling behind Biden in the overall horserace, Warren led the pack when voters were asked which candidates they feel "enthusiastic" about. The poll shows her enthusiasm figures have grown from 20% in March to 35% in September, while Biden has dropped from 33% to 23%. On Monday night, Warren drew her largest campaign rally crowd of the 2020 cycle when over 20,000 people came out to New York City's Washington Square Park.

Warren is the only winner in polls after previous Democratic debates

Data: RealClearPolitics; Chart: Naema Ahmed/Axios

The Democratic presidential candidates will face off on the debate stage again Thursday night, but the reality is that Elizabeth Warren is the only candidate who has gained any real momentum since the first debate, based on polls during the last three months.

The big picture: Post-debate polling spikes have proven to be sugar rushes. After jumping from 7% to 15% after the first debate, Kamala Harris is back down to 7%, while Julián Castro's cameo above 1% after that debate was also short-lived. Warren's ascent from 9% to 19%, meanwhile, has been gradual and steady.

This story first appeared in Axios AM

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