The Republican group Senate Leadership Fund is wasting no time attacking vulnerable 2018 Democrats for their votes against Neil Gorsuch's Supreme Court nomination. Its first ad goes live tomorrow hitting Missouri Sen. Claire McCaskill for her no vote and points out she voted yes on all of Obama's judges.

What's coming next: Titled "Down the Line Liberal," the ad foreshadows a theme that Republicans will use to attack other red state Democrats whose political brands depend on their reputations as centrists.

Specifics: The ad is digital only and will begin by targeting Trump supporters in Missouri, says Senate Leadership Fund strategist Carl Forti. He tells me the spend is mid-five figures through early next week, then the group will decide how much more they want to put behind it, potentially with some TV.

(This story has been updated to correct the name of the group in the first and third paragraphs. It's the Senate Leadership Fund not American Crossroads.)

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Coronavirus dashboard

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Early voting eclipses 2016 total with 12 days until election

People stand in line to vote early in Fairfax, Virginia in September. Photo: Tasos Katopodis/Getty Images

Americans have cast more than 47.1 million ballots in the 2020 presidential election, surpassing the total early-vote count for 2016 with 12 days left until Election Day, according to a Washington Post analysis of voting data.

Why it matters: The election is already underway, as many states have expanded early and mail-in voting options because of the coronavirus pandemic.

What to expect from the final debate of the 2020 election

Trump and Biden at the first debate. Morry Gash-Pool/Getty Image

Watch for President Trump to address Joe Biden as “the big guy” or “the chairman” at tonight's debate as a way of dramatizing the Hunter Biden emails. Hunter's former business partner Tony Bobulinski is expected to be a Trump debate guest.

The big picture: Trump's advisers universally view the first debate as a catastrophe — evidenced by a sharp plunge in Trump’s public and (more convincingly for them) private polling immediately following the debate.