Feb 6, 2020 - Politics & Policy

A warning to Democrats on their 2020 message

Joe Biden speaks to a supporter yesterday in Somersworth, N.H. Photo: Spencer Platt/Getty Images

Guy Cecil — chairman of Priorities USA, one of the most powerful outside Democratic groups — is out with a post-impeachment memo, "Democrats Must Focus on Kitchen Table Issues," with advice for presidential candidates.

The big picture: Cecil argues if Democrats successfully pick apart President Trump's record on everyday concerns for Americans, like pre-existing conditions, drug prices and Social Security, they can win back the White House in 2020.

What they're saying:

[Trump] remains in a relatively strong position to be re-elected ... If Democrats want to win, we ... must increase our focus on the issues that affect voters’ lives on a daily basis. ...
President Trump’s State of the Union speech showed that he and his team are very aware of these vulnerabilities. During his speech, Trump spent significant amounts of time attempting to whitewash his record on these issues. ...
Our last battleground poll found that 53 percent of voters viewed health care as more of a reason to elect someone other than Trump while just 29 percent viewed it as a reason to re-elect him. ...
Trump knows these issues matter and is using the bully pulpit to hide the truth. If Democrats don’t do a better job of putting them front and center, we will lose a very winnable election to Donald Trump.

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Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios. Photo: Chesnot/Getty Contributor

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Why it matters: Bloomberg is the only Democrat who was even slightly intriguing to these voters. They're happy with Trump and don't feel like they recognize the current Democratic Party relative to when they voted for Barack Obama.

Why Trump is very beatable

Photo: Alex Wong/Getty Images

There is a growing sense among top Republicans and Democrats that President Trump is stronger than ever and very hard to beat this fall, but several data points suggest otherwise.

Why it matters: Amid record-high stock markets and record-low joblessness, Trump trails almost every 2020 Democrat nationally, and is in a statistical tie in swing-state polls.

The Supreme Court could be Trump's ACA nightmare

Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

The Supreme Court’s next big Affordable Care Act case could be a huge political problem for President Trump.

Why it matters: The Trump administration will spend the next several months urging the court to strip away some 20 million people’s health insurance and to throw out protections for pre-existing conditions. And it may all come to a head just before Election Day.

Go deeperArrowMar 3, 2020 - Health