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Rep. Conor Lamb after he won his race. Photo: Drew Angerer/Getty Images

A new Monmouth University poll puts Rep. Conor Lamb — who's served for just three months — 13 points ahead of three-term Rep. Keith Rothfus in Pennsylvania's 17th district.

The big picture: "The combination of dramatically better district lines for Democrats, the candidate resume contrast and an anti-Trump national mood give Lamb the clear advantage," writes Cook's Dave Wasserman. Cook Political Report shifted the race from "toss-up" to "lean Democratic."

Why it matters: This polling is the latest example that the new congressional map could help Democrats pick up as many as 11 seats in Pennsylvania, which is crucial to taking back the House.

  • Wasserman also notes Rothfus is only the second GOP incumbent in the "lean Democratic" column, with Barbara Comstock of Virginia.
  • Strategists often refer to Lamb's victory in the Pennsylvania 18 special election as a new playbook for Democratic candidates — this Monmouth poll backs up much of their thinking.

Go deeper: Open seats are more likely to flip than those with an incumbent.

Go deeper

Ina Fried, author of Login
21 mins ago - Technology
Column / Signal Boost

How smartphone cameras became the best cameras

Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

For years, the smartphone has been the most convenient camera, and in recent years it has also become the easiest and most versatile camera. But this year's high-end smartphones have taken things to a new level — capturing images that would be either tough or impossible even with a high-end digital camera.

Between the lines: Traditional cameras have the advantage of bigger sensors and better lenses, but smartphone cameras are rivaling and even surpassing them by tapping computational power.

The rise of vegan food in unexpected places

Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

Vegan cuisine is popping up in two places it wasn't present before: fine dining and fast food.

Why it matters: The single biggest way an individual can reduce their carbon footprint is to eat less meat and dairy. Now, the popularization of meatless meals could help curb meat consumption in the U.S.

Tina Reed, author of Vitals
51 mins ago - Health

Experts predict an easier COVID winter this year

Illustration: Annelise Capossela/Axios

This winter probably won't bring another crushing COVID wave, experts say.

Why it matters: Last winter was the deadliest phase of the pandemic, and many Americans are braced for cold weather to once again usher in a surge in cases and deaths. But there are good reasons to think this year won't be nearly as bad.

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