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Barring a shocking turn of events, leftist Andrés Manuel López Obrador will be elected Mexico's president on Sunday. AMLO, as he is known, has presented himself at various times as a rabble-rousing revolutionary and common sense pragmatist — it's not clear which version Mexico is about to elect.
Between the lines: The long-time standard-bearer of the Mexican Left, AMLO left the Mexico City mayor’s office in 2005 with sky-high approval ratings and a reputation for consensus-building. One year later he shut down highways and declared himself the “legitimate president” after narrowly losing the presidential race. Roberta Jacobson, until recently the U.S. ambassador to Mexico, told the New Yorker’s Jon Lee Anderson: “Honestly, my strongest feeling about him is that we don’t know what to expect.”
The bigger picture: More than 120 Mexican politicians and political activists have been killed in the lead-up to the election, with hundreds of others pulling out or declining to run out of fear. Today, the entire police force in the town of Ocampo was detained over suspicions it was involved in the murder of a mayoral candidate.
Supporters gather for Erdogan's victory speech in Ankara. Photo: Mustafa Kamaci/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images
Turkey's Recep Tayyip Erdoğan won a new presidential term on Sunday — and with it new executive powers granted in last year’s referendum — in an election that was far from fair (Erdoğan dominates Turkey’s media and the election was held under a state of emergency) but appeared to involve less vote rigging than many expected.
What’s next: At a panel discussion today at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, experts offered their analysis on where Turkey and its strongman leader will go from here.
A year ago, nearly half of Americans considered North Korea the greatest immediate threat to the United States. Today, that number has plummeted and fear of China has increased — to the point where the two are essentially tied, according to a new Axios/SurveyMonkey poll. Russia is now the most-cited threat.
For every woman on a dating app in India, there are typically three or four men, reports the Wall Street Journal. In a country where arranged marriages are still extremely common, many women are concerned that dating is too stigmatized or too dangerous, Axios' Erica Pandey writes.
The big picture: India and China have two of the largest and fastest-growing populations of smartphone users in the world, a big draw for dating apps. But cultural barriers keep some apps from taking off in Asia as they have in the U.S.
Photo: Hussain Radwan/AFP/Getty Images
Finally, as of yesterday, women can drive legally in Saudi Arabia.
The bigger picture: Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman is attempting to modernize Saudi society (movie theaters, concerts) and diversify its oil-dependent economy. He's doing so from the top down, while keeping a tight lid on dissent — women who campaigned for the right to drive remain in jail.
One big question: "I support the change but I am afraid of the speed of the change," a Saudi ex-official told the Economist. "The religious people are quiet for now. Will they continue to be quiet, or will they react violently?"
The view from Eze, in the French Riviera. Photo: Andia/ UIG via Getty Images
Summer is here and I’m heading on vacation next week, so here are some stats about travel.
Top destinations, by international arrivals:
Fans celebrate an England goal at the Isle of Wight festival in Newport, U.K. David Jensen/PA Images via Getty Images
Barney Henderson, my former colleague at the Daily Telegraph, emails from London in the wake of a 6-1 victory over Panama:
Tomorrow's games (ET) — 10am: Denmark vs. France, Australia vs. Peru. 2pm: Nigeria vs. Argentina, Iceland vs. Croatia.
Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios
"Who is this stupid God? This son of a bitch is then really stupid."— Philippines President Rodrigo Duterte, on God (h/t Lachlan Markay).
Thanks for reading — see you Thursday evening.