4. "Medicare for All" is popular
A new Reuters poll, tucked into a very long exploration of Democrats' shift to the left, has some surprising findings: 85% of Democrats and 51% of Republicans said they support "Medicare for All."
That feels high. Other polling has also shown a solid base of support for some version of "Medicare for All" or single-payer, but it's hard to imagine a majority of Republicans supporting such an effort if and when a Democratic president attempts it.
"Medicare for All" doesn't have a single definition at this point, making it something of a blank slate.
- To Sen. Bernie Sanders and his allies, it means the elimination of private insurance and establishment of a single national program. To other Democrats, it's an option to buy into the existing Medicare program.
- There's a big substantive difference between those two, which will affect any real plan's ultimate popularity. But there's no denying that something more like single-payer is on the table now in a way it hasn't been for decades.
More supporting evidence: A Fox News poll finds that the ACA is more popular (with 51% approval) than the GOP tax law (40%).
The bottom line: Any actual legislative debate over an expanded government health care program would surely be 2010 all over again, but still, all these signs point in the same direction.