April 02, 2024

Welcome back to Sneak. Tonight's edition is 661 words, a 2.5-minute read.

Situational awareness: Floridians will vote this November on a constitutional amendment that protects abortion rights until fetal viability, or 24-28 weeks. Earlier this year, Gov. Ron DeSantis signed a ban on abortions after six weeks. Go deeper.

❄️ 1 big thing: Johnson’s chilly reception

Photo: Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images

Speaker Mike Johnson's "important innovations" to pass aid to Ukraine are being met with a chilly reception, Axios' Andrew Solender reports.

  • ⚡️It's "highly unlikely" Johnson's proposal would get enough Democratic support to pass, a Democratic leadership source told Axios.

Why it matters: The vast majority of Democrats will need to support the package, as many House Republicans have turned against Ukraine aid.

  • Democratic votes would also likely be needed to save Johnson from being ousted in a motion to vacate that some GOP members have threatened as retaliation for a Ukraine aid vote.
  • The Democratic leadership source said they are not aware of Johnson and House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-N.Y.) discussing the proposal.

Zoom in: Johnson, who said he wants to start pushing an aid package after the House returns from Easter recess next week, floated "important innovations" Sunday.

The bottom line: "All the Speaker has to do is let the House vote on the already passed bipartisan Senate bill," centrist Rep. Greg Landsman (D-Ohio) told Axios.

  • "That may be the only way, certainly the quickest way to get this to the president's desk."

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👀 2. Trump's donor CPR

Former President Trump attends the wake for slain NYPD officer Jonathan Diller in Massapequa, N.Y. Photo: Lev Radin/Pacific Press/LightRocket via Getty Images

With the first criminal trial of Donald Trump's life starting two weeks from today, his campaign says it's found its footing again on small-dollar donors.

Why it matters: The GOP's small-dollar fundraising is way down from 2020, with exhausted donors and far more candidates chasing their money.

  • But Trump is back up over $1 million a day in online fundraising, his team told the Washington Post.

Zoom out: The strategies that helped a small number of insurgent campaigns strike gold online have been cloned to the point that the donations have slowed, influential GOP operatives told the Post.

  • Apex Strategies partner John Hall: "Sending eight emails and texts a day that promise an artificial match, threaten to take away your GOP membership or call you a traitor if you don't donate doesn't build a long-term relationship with donors."
  • Targeted Victory CEO Zac Moffatt: "It's easy to blame texts and emails, but people don't want to state the obvious: There's far more competition in the space."
  • Marc Short, former chief of staff to Vice President Mike Pence: "You had a new vehicle to raise money, but everyone kind of abused it."

3. Democratic super PAC targets Summer Lee

Photo: Screenshot from ad from the Moderate PAC

A Democratic Super PAC that was founded to protect sitting centrist lawmakers is now targeting progressive incumbents, Axios' Hans Nichols reports.

  • The Moderate PAC's new target is Squad member Rep. Summer Lee (D-Pa.), Axios has learned.
  • "She and the Squad gave [Biden] the cold shoulder at the State of the Union," the narrator says. "We need a representative who will work with Biden."

Zoom in: The group is making two arguments to justify its new approach:

  1. That Lee's progressive record will give Republicans an opportunity to flip her district, in which Democrats currently have a D+8 advantage.
  2. Progressive Democrats like Lee criticizing President Biden and distancing themselves from him might damage the president on Election Day.

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🥚4. Biden's got jokes

First lady Jill Biden, President Biden, Vice President Kamala Harris and second gentleman Douglas Emhoff greet the crowd at the White House Easter Egg Roll today. Photo: Jim Watson/Getty Images

President Biden and first lady Jill Biden hosted the annual White House Easter Egg Roll, a tradition that dates to 1878, Axios' April Rubin reports.

  • Biden made light of the stormy weather: "Al Roker told me this morning it was going to get sunny."
biden and bunnies
Biden, flanked by Easter bunnies, speaks from the balcony of the White House. Photo: Jim Watson/Getty Images