Dec 30, 2019

Axios PM

Good afternoon: Today's PM — edited by Justin Green — is 356 words, a 1.5-minute read.

Situational awareness: Former Vice President Joe Biden said at a campaign stop in New Hampshire that he would consider choosing a Republican running mate if he wins the nomination, but that he "can't think of one right now."

1 big thing: 2020 census threatens blue state power

America's great population changes are set to reduce the power of blue states in Congress, Axios' Stef Kight reports.

Why it matters: This emphasizes the importance of an accurate 2020 census.

Expand chart
Data: Brookings analysis of U.S. Census data; Table: Naema Ahmed/Axios

What to watch: Demographics are shifting in states like Florida, Texas and Arizona, which have seen an influx of Latinos who tend to skew more Democratic and are more likely to be undercounted by the census, Brookings Institution's William Frey told Axios.

  • Texas has slowly been turning blue, and Florida has been tightly contested for years.
  • Three key swing states that voted for Trump in 2016 — Michigan, Ohio and Pennsylvania — are each projected to lose a congressional seat.
  • The resulting redistricting will raise the stakes in future state elections.

The big picture: Total population growth in the U.S. reached its lowest point since 1918, Stef notes.

  • For the first time in decades, the number of births minus the number of deaths was less than 1 million in the U.S., the AP reports.
  • With the aging of the population, as the baby boomers move into their 70s and 80s, there are going to be higher numbers of deaths,” Frey said.
  • Four states had more deaths than births: West Virginia, Maine, New Hampshire and Vermont.
Bonus: Pic du jour

Photo: Joe Raedle/Getty Images

Sen. Bernie Sanders uses a torch to light a menorah during a lighting event at the Chanukah on Ice campaign event in Des Moines.

2. What you missed
  1. Sen. Bernie Sanders released doctors' letters saying he "has the mental and physical stamina to fully undertake the rigors of the Presidency." Go deeper.
  2. The Texas church security volunteer who killed a gunman after he opened fire during a Sunday morning service was identified on Monday as Jack Wilson, a trained reserve deputy. Go deeper.
  3. Prosecutors filed federal hate crime charges against the suspect accused of stabbing five people in a Hasidic rabbi’s home in Monsey, New York. Go deeper.
  4. China now has 130 cities of at least 1 million people, more than the U.S. (45), European Union (36) and South America (46) combined. Go deeper.
3. 1 fun thing
Obama and Trump at Trump's 2017 inauguration. Photo: Brendan Smialowski/AFP via Getty Images

America's most admired has resulted in a tie, according to the 2019 Gallup poll.


  • 1 (tie). Barack Obama (18%)
  • 1 (tie). Donald Trump (18%)
  • 3 (tie). Jimmy Carter (2%)
  • 3 (tie). Elon Musk (2%)
  • 5. Bill Gates (2%)


  • 1. Michelle Obama (10%)
  • 2. Melania Trump (5%)
  • 3. Oprah Winfrey (3%)
  • 4. Hillary Clinton (3%)
  • 5. Greta Thunberg (3%)

Go deeper.