The worst could be yet to come, according to a leaked internal Trump administration report that predicts 3,000 coronavirus deaths a day by June 1.
Why it matters: That's nearly double the status quo. The report published by the N.Y. Times shows the possibility of 200,000 new cases a day by the end of May. In April, new daily cases hovered around 30,000.
- The model was created by Johns Hopkins professor Justin Lessler, who said it was a range of possibilities, according to WashPost. "I had no role in the process by which that was presented and shown ... it was not in any way intended to be a forecast."
- “There are reopening scenarios where it could get out of control very quickly."
Between the lines: Senior administration officials are very unhappy about this leak, which is extremely inconvenient for their messaging, Axios' Jonathan Swan tells me.
- They want to turn the page away from a daily discussion of grim health data and death tolls to emphasize the safe "reopening" of the American economy. This leak drags them back to a place many in the White House want to leave behind.
- In a statement, White House spokesperson Judd Deere said: “This is not a White House document nor has it been presented to the Coronavirus Task Force or gone through interagency vetting."
Flashback: At a Fox News town hall yesterday, President Trump said the coronavirus death toll could reach 100,000. Back in April, he said it could be as low as 50,000.
The big picture: A horrifying collision is on display between states rushing to reopen and a small but active minority actively disregarding social distancing.
- "The situation has devolved most dramatically in parts of rural America that were largely spared in the early stages of the pandemic," the Times reports.
- "As food processing facilities and prisons have emerged as some of the country’s largest case clusters, the counties that include Logansport, Ind., South Sioux City, Neb., and Marion, Ohio, have surpassed New York City in cases per capita."
What's next: California Gov. Gavin Newsom announced today that the state will begin "Stage 2" of reopening on Friday.