Aug 1, 2019

Axios PM

By Mike Allen
Mike Allen

Good afternoon: Today's PM — edited by Zachary Basu — is 692 words, a 4 minute read.

🏖️ Situational awareness: The House and Senate are both officially in recess, and there isn't another Democratic debate until September. Welcome to the summer doldrums.

1 big thing: The impeachment slow-drip
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Graphic: Axios Visuals

The number of House Democrats who have publicly expressed support for an impeachment inquiry has quietly crept up to 116 — an average of one a day for the month of July that brings the caucus two short of a majority, just in time for August recess.

  • Why it matters: The slow-drip of lawmakers joining the impeachment fray, boosted in waves by the Mueller hearings and President Trump's racist outbursts, disguises the reality that momentum has tilted squarely in favor of a formal inquiry.

Driving the news: Florida Rep. Ted Deutch wrote in the Sun Sentinel this morning that "the question is no longer whether the House should vote to proceed with a formal impeachment inquiry. The inquiry has already begun."

  • Deutch is referencing a recent court filing in which the House Judiciary Committee wrote that it had already begun "investigating whether to recommend articles of impeachment."

The big picture: Deutch, the chairman of the House Ethics Committee and a member of House Judiciary, is not the only influential Democrat to come out in favor of an impeachment inquiry this week.

Between the lines: Many have viewed Pelosi's reluctance to launch impeachment proceedings as a means of protecting the swing-district Democrats who were key to winning back the House majority in November. But if those very lawmakers are taking it upon themselves to call for impeachment, Pelosi may soon find her stance obsolete.

What to watch: The fall is widely seen as Democrats' last chance to move forward with a formal inquiry before election season begins in earnest. As members return home, four national progressive groups tell BuzzFeed News they're launching a campaign to pressure wary Democrats on their impeachment stances through town halls and local events.

  • Keep an eye on Assistant Speaker Ben Ray Luján (N.M.) and civil rights icon Rep. John Lewis (Ga.), says Politico's Kyle Cheney.
  • "Luján’s support for impeachment proceedings could help unlock the backing of a slew of freshman Democrats who Luján helped get elected in 2016, when he ran Democrats’ campaign arm ... And Lewis’ support would carry significant sway with members of the Congressional Black Caucus who have remained on the fence so far."
Bonus: Pic du jour

Metropolitan Books via AP

Former NSA contractor Edward Snowden, who leaked a bombshell series of classified documents in 2013, will release his memoir worldwide on Sept. 17.

2. What you missed
  1. Trump announced that 10% tariffs on the remaining $300 billion of U.S. imports from China will begin Sept. 1. Go deeper.
  2. The Senate voted 67-28 to pass a $2.7 trillion budget deal that suspends the debt ceiling through 2021, sending it to Trump's desk for a signature. Details.
  3. 10.7 million people watched last night's Democratic debate. By the numbers.
  4. CNN: The Justice Department's inspector general referred former FBI Director James Comey for criminal prosecution for his handling of classified memos, but DOJ declined to prosecute. Go deeper.
3. 1 oat thing

The great oat milk shortage of 2018 was a disaster for U.S. caffeine addicts who like the taste of cow's milk, but could do without the "animal welfare and environmental concerns," Bloomberg reports.

  • But for Swedish-based Oatly, "the brand sought out by hipsters and coffee snobs from coast to coast," it signaled a golden opportunity to expand production in the U.S.

A new Utah plant opening in 2020 will have three times the capacity as Oatly's $15 million New Jersey facility. "Will that be enough to meet demand?" asks CEO Toni Petersson. "No."

  • "Oatly’s sales were about $110 million in 2018, up from $68 million a year earlier. [Petersson] expects double that, about $230 million, for 2019."

The big picture: Oatly's popularity "echoes other plant-based products' move into the mainstream ... Spikes in demand [have] forced these companies to quickly figure out how to mass-manufacture complex products made with ingredients that often aren't widely available."

Drink up.

Mike Allen