Jan 25, 2019

Axios PM

Mike Allen
1 big thing: Trump caves to Pelosi

Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios

President Trump created the longest government shutdown in U.S. history so he could get $5.7 billion for a border wall, and today he caved in exchange for $0.

  • 🚨Trump will sign a short-term deal that will open the government for three weeks.
  • During that stretch, the House and Senate will go to conference to discuss border funding.
  • “If we don’t get a fair deal from Congress, the government will either shut down on Feb. 15, again, or I will use the powers afforded to me under the laws and Constitution of the United States to address this emergency," Trump said today.

The big picture: The president delivered nothing for his base and created financial instability for millions of others, uniting Democrats around House Speaker Pelosi, who emerged as his foil during the stretch.

  • Trump challenged her for wall funding ... and got nothing
  • He fought her on the State of the Union ... and got nothing
  • And he teased a national emergency ... but didn't do it

The other side: Some conservative senior administration officials are relieved at the continuing resolution.

  • A senior official tells Axios' Jonathan Swan he was worried Trump was so desperate for the wall funding that he’d be willing to give away almost anything on immigration in return. 

What's next: If the dealmaking fails, Trump will have to decide whether to risk shutting down the government in the middle of tax season, potentially prompting a return to the budding commercial air travel crisis.

  • 14,000 IRS workers reportedly didn't come to work during the shutdown, imperiling tax returns.
  • The Federal Aviation Administration slowed down flights to several major airports today, citing staffing issues.
  • And a flight attendants union threatened work stoppages today, which they could certainly resume if the shutdown returns.

The bottom line: See you February 15th!

Bonus: How it's playing

Drudge Report:

Ann Coulter:

Breitbart News:

2. What you missed
  1. The coldest air of the season will roar into the Midwest and Ohio Valley next week as a lobe of the polar vortex comes south from the Arctic Ocean. Go deeper.
  2. Roger responds: The indicted Roger Stone told a crowd of reporters outside his arraignment today that he will never testify against President Trump, who he called one of his "oldest friends." Full quote.
  3. P.S. The indictment of Roger Stone has given us new insight into what special counsel Robert Mueller knows — and raised a lot of questions about the unnamed people and organizations listed in the indictment.
  4. The stalled parade of 2019 IPOs may resume now that the government shutdown is over. Go deeper.
3. 1 voodoo thing

New Orleans Saints wide receiver Tommylee Lewis works for a catch against Los Angeles Rams defensive back Nickell Robey-Coleman during the second half of the NFC championship game. Photo: Gerald Herbert/AP

"A New Orleans bakery is turning out thousands of cookies with a picture of a referee with a circle and slash mark across it in red icing," the AP notes.

  • "The owner of a locksmith shop has hung posters and signs taking aim at NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell, and some residents have hung posters of a referee wearing a blindfold."
  • "New Orleans Saints fans have found some pretty creative ways to express their displeasure over the infamous 'no call' during last weekend’s Saints-Rams championship game."
  • “We’re angry,” said Lauren Haydel, a Saints fan and business owner who has started printing and selling T-shirts featuring a referee voodoo doll with pins sticking out of it from her Fleurty Girl retail stores."

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Mike Allen