Sep 27, 2019

Axios PM

By Mike Allen
Mike Allen

Good afternoon: Today's PM — edited by Justin Green — is 401 words, a 2 minute read.

Situational awareness: The Trump administration is considering moves that would stem the flow of money from U.S. investors to China. Go deeper.

1 big thing: The impeachment tipping point

Photo: Jim Watson/AFP/Getty Images

After this crazy week, it's increasingly hard to see how Democrats back down from making Donald Trump the 3rd president in history to be impeached:

  • House Democratic leadership is on board, even if they're still hedging on the process.
  • So are almost all 2020 Democratic presidential candidates. Joe Biden is the only candidate whose support would be conditional on Trump obstruction.
  • And public sentiment is moving in that direction: New polling has shown a rise in support.

The big picture: Impeachment has been elevated from an activist issue to a dominant issue in the Democratic Party.

What's next: Watch top Democrats to see if their support from impeachment changes from conditional (I'll support these efforts if Trump does X) to absolute.

  • That might take longer in the Senate, and it's still doubtful whether Republicans would ever come on board. 
  • But history is hard to read in the moment: Richard Nixon's story shows how public sentiment can build like a wave.

The bottom line: You'll read about this week in the history books — whether or not Trump is impeached.

Bonus: Pics du jour
Photos by Chong Voon Chung/Xinhua via Getty Images

BASE jumpers leap from Kuala Lumpur Tower on a hazy day during International Jump Malaysia 2019 in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.

2. What you missed
  1. THC vape products are linked to a majority of vaping-related lung injuries, the CDC said today. Go deeper.
  2. Senate Democrats say the NRA acted as a Russian asset during the lead-up to the 2016 presidential election, offering the promise of political access to elected officials in the U.S. in exchange for business deals. Go deeper.
  3. This year's surge of murders of transgender people has been dubbed an epidemic by the American Medical Association. Go deeper.
  4. Iran released a British oil tanker and its crew 2 months after it was first detained near the Strait of Hormuz and weeks after Iran's own tanker was released from Gibraltar.
  5. AT&T COO John Stankey said that the telecom giant would consider dropping its exclusive rights to the NFL's Sunday Ticket package from its DirecTV satellite service. Go deeper.
3. 1 fun thing
Photo: Courtesy David Leaning via AP

A pair of Mark Twain enthusiasts say they’ve found what appears to be Samuel Clemens’ signature from the mid-1800s scrawled on the wall of the Missouri cave he made famous in “The Adventures of Tom Sawyer," the AP reports.

  • Two leading experts on Twain and his handwriting agreed the signature is likely authentic.
  • Other famous names in the cave: Norman Rockwell from 1936, and the outlaw Jesse James, dated September 22, 1879.
Mike Allen