Sep 20, 2018

Axios Login

By Ina Fried
Ina Fried


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1 big thing: Google's China move unites critics

Google is under fire for weighing a censored Chinese version of its search engine. Photo: Florian Gaertner/Photothek via Getty Images

Objections to Google’s possible re-entry into the Chinese search market are uniting Republicans, Democrats and some of Google's own employees in a rare alignment against the company, Axios' David McCabe writes.

Why it matters: Google abandoned China in 2010 rather than censor its search results to meet the Chinese government's wishes. Any effort by the company to return to this gigantic market stirs up ethical questions raised by that history.

The big picture: Some Google controversies, like its role in Russian election interference in 2016, have upset lawmakers. Others, like a company contract with the Defense Department, have outraged employees. This one has done both.

At the Googleplex: Employee discontent has burst into public view since a report this summer that Google was pursuing a project under the name Dragonfly to look at creating a censored version of its search engine for China.

On Capitol Hill: Lawmakers wrote a letter about Dragonfly to Google last month, and frustrations with the company are high because it wouldn’t send a senior-enough executive to a Senate Intelligence Committee hearing on election meddling.

  • “I think the employees should be critical,” Intelligence Committee Vice Chairman Mark Warner (D-Va.) said.
  • Warner added that creating "a censored search engine, doing joint research with AI when most of the companies in China are totally co-opted by the Chinese government" doesn't seem to meet the company's own standards.

This is just one of several controversies over which Google faces growing pressure.

  • Some lawmakers are also frustrated at Google’s decision not to renew a contract with a Defense Department program known as Project Maven. Some employees had protested against that project.
  • “Instead of consciously compromising American ideals and values, Google’s executives should reject Beijing’s repressive censorship and reconsider their decision to stop working with the U.S. military on Project Maven,” Sen. Tom Cotton (R-Ark.) said in a statement.

What Google is saying: Reached Wednesday, a Google spokesperson referred to a previously-released statement saying work on a Chinese search engine has been "exploratory" and it is "not close to launching a search product in China.”

  • It also has looked to calm Congress’ fears. “We are approaching these issues deliberately, and whether we would or could release a search service in China remains unclear,” Google CEO Sundar Pichai said in a letter responding to lawmakers last month.

The bottom line: Increasingly, it's looking like Google’s moment in the D.C. hot seat. With Congress' eye on China thanks to concerns about cyber espionage and heightened trade tensions, Google's new China moves can only raise the temperature.

2. Machine learning tools boost ad results

Digital ad campaigns optimized by machine learning tools outperformed campaigns managed by humans over the course of one month, according to a new study, Axios' Sara Fischer reports.

Expand chart

Data: Magna Global; Chart: Axios Visuals

Why it matters: Although advertising has traditionally been a creative industry, stakeholders — like agencies, ad tech firms, and even brands — are pushing the effectiveness of their automation and machine learning tools, to lure clients who are focused on cost-efficient, data-driven ad campaigns.

The details: The study, which is sponsored by one of the world’s biggest ad firms, its digital ad agency and a programmatic ad tech company, suggests that humans and machines need similar exposure to an ad campaign to learn, absorb patterns and predict incomes.

Given that same input, the machine-learning programs performed better than humans at optimizing the campaign — basically, putting the most effective ads where they will have the most impact.

The bigger picture: The integration of automated ad technology (called programmatic advertising) has been proven to improve the outcomes of digital advertising when properly managed by humans, but it will require a new set of skills and jobs to implement.

If machine learning takes over routine tasks — like allocating ad impressions to parts of a website where they will perform better, or swapping an ad's creative elements with more compelling art — humans will only need to step in to solve complex problems and make big decisions.

  • That bodes well for experienced managers, but potentially not well for people who perform those easily automated tasks.

Go deeper: Read Sara's full story here.

3. Scooter firms rack up 10 million rides

It turns out scooter rentals are popular: Lime and Bird have each already crossed the 10 million ride mark, with Lime recently reaching 11.5 million, Axios' Kia Kokalitcheva writes.

Why it matters: Scooter rentals are seen as the "new ride-hailing" by investors and users alike, the former chasing the next transportation hit and the latter looking for an easy alternative to auto traffic. At least for now, it looks like Bird and Lime are neck and neck in the race.

For comparison, Lyft had amassed only one million rides a year after debuting in August 2012. It took about 17 months for Uber to reach 10 million UberX rides in Australia alone (2014–2015).

By the numbers, for Bird and Lime:

  • Total rides disclosed to date: Bird, 10 million; Lime, 11.5 million.
  • Total cities: Bird, 100; Lime, 100.
  • Total funding: Bird, $418 million; Lime, $467 million.
  • Valuation: Bird, $2 billion; Lime, $1.1 billion (per Pitchbook).

Meanwhile, yesterday Lime appealed San Francisco's decision not to award it a permit to participate in its pilot program.

4. Amazon's private-label edge

There’s debate on both sides of the Atlantic as to whether Amazon's mountain of data gives it an inherent — and unfair — advantage over rivals. But critics may be looking at the wrong thing in the data, Axios' Erica Pandey writes.

What they're saying: James Thomson, a former Amazon executive who now consults for brands that sell on the platform, says the e-commerce giant's singular advantage is behavioral data allowing it to precisely target customers for its private label products.

Behavioral data tells Amazon who precisely is interested in what product. "They know exactly who has looked for batteries but has not purchased them," Thomson tells Axios. "That's the audience you want."

Driving the news: Margrethe Vestager, the EU's top antitrust regulator, Wednesday launched a probe of whether Amazon is unfairly monopolizing data in order to outsell rivals.

Go deeper: Read Erica's full story.

5. Take Note

On Tap

Trading Places

  • Bryan Brooks is joining Coinbase as its chief legal officer. Brooks was previously EVP at Fannie Mae. (Coindesk)

ICYMI

  • Amazon has a plan to open 3,000 cashierless stores by 2021. (Bloomberg)
  • Alibaba bails on pledge to create one million U.S. jobs. (Axios)
  • Nearly half of all cellphone calls next year will come from scammers, according to a First Orion report. (The Washington Post)
  • Congress members ask IRS to clarify cryptocurrency tax rules. (Axios)
  • How AI will make us think harder, and maybe better. (Axios)
  • 21st Century Fox and Comcast are likely headed to a settlement auction for European broadcaster Sky this weekend after a months-long bidding war. (Axios)
6. After you Login

I am here to tell you the professional wrestler turned movie star Dwayne The Rock Johnson is going to be president...

I give you the latest from novelist Robin Sloan ("Mr. Penumbra's 24-Hour Bookstore," "Sourdough"), a short story with a long title: "Proposal for a book to be adapted into a movie starring Dwayne The Rock Johnson."

Ina Fried