President Trump's delay in making a final decision on whether to stay in or withdraw from the Paris climate deal is prompting both sides to ratchet up pressure, but in the end there will be more stakeholders urging Trump to stay in. Here's why:
The opponents: The number opposed to the deal is reaching a ceiling. Yes, there are 44 free-market and conservative organizations that sent a letter earlier this month. Yes, ten attorneys general from Republican-leaning states sent a letter to Trump on Tuesday outlining the legal risks staying in the global deal would create. However, this compares with the two dozen attorney generals who sent a letter in December urging Trump to repeal President Obama's power-plant carbon rules. This shows the lack of strong opposition among the U.S.'s top legal officers.
The proponents: More people are coming to the agreement's defense. A growing number of world leaders, including Pope Francis, are urging Trump to stay in the deal. The president should get an earful from more of them over the next couple of days at the G7 meeting in Italy, all of whom want the U.S. to stay. And, 14 attorneys general want Trump to stay in the pact.
Between the lines: Whatever Trump decides, you can bet it won't be a clear yes he's staying in or no he's pulling out. All parties — including Trump himself — will be able to spin the outcome to their liking.
What's next: Trump will probably make a final decision about the Paris climate deal "after we get home," Secretary of State Rex Tillerson told reporters Tuesday en route to Brussels. Trump is scheduled to return back to Washington this weekend.