☕ Good Tuesday morning.
🎂 C-SPAN is 40: "On March 19, 1979, the cable television industry started C-SPAN as a public service providing unfiltered, unbiased coverage of Congress and the nation’s politics. Forty years later we continue to be your unfiltered view of government."
One of the great controversies of our time involves Russia's use of Facebook in 2016. And President Trump, who spent massively on Facebook in 2016, is doubling down on a Facebook strategy again —and once again, with few people noticing.
The data — from Facebook and Google's political ad transparency reports, aggregated by Bully Pulpit Interactive, and covering December 2018 through now — provides a window into the Trump campaign's 2020 strategy.
Be smart: Democrats need to woo early donors with proof of momentum, while Trump needs to drive support from his base.
The bottom line: "Trump’s digital sophistication was one of the most over-reported stories of the 2016 election cycle," says Mike Schneider of Bully Pulpit Interactive. "Trump’s digital head start in the 2020 cycle is one of the most under-reported stories."
Kevin Rudd — the former Australian prime minister, who's now president of the Asia Society Policy Institute — warns that President Trump's freewheeling diplomatic style won't work with Chinese President Xi Jinping.
But Rudd tells Axios' Jonathan Swan that Trump's preferred approach — meeting Xi at Mar-a-Lago to hash out a final deal — isn't a realistic way to get there.
Rudd, who's in the rare position of being able to channel both Washington and Beijing, elaborates in an Asia Society Policy Institute post:
The bottom line, per Rudd: "Whenever the Mar-a-Lago Summit is held between Trump and Xi, ... however it is dressed up, for it to work it will need to be signed off in full in both capitals beforehand by Vice Premier Liu He and his American counterpart, U.S. Trade Representative Bob Lighthizer."
Go deeper: Read former Prime Minister Rudd's post, "Ending the Trade War."
What's new: "The AP looked at 424 weather stations throughout the Lower 48 states that had consistent temperature records since 1920 and counted how many times daily hot temperature records were tied or broken and how many daily cold records were set. In a stable climate, the numbers should be roughly equal."
The context: "Most decades in the 20th century had close to an even ratio of hot to cold. The 1930s, driven by Dust Bowl summers, had about 1.4 hot records for every cold."
"The record floods that have pummeled the Midwest are inflicting a devastating toll on farmers and ranchers at a moment when they can least afford it," the N.Y. Times reports.
The first Emerson College Wisconsin Poll of the Democratic primary found Bernie Sanders leading strongly in the state at 39%, followed by Joe Biden at 24%.
General election: In a vital state, Trump tied or trailed all leading Dems.
Sen. Cory Booker (D-N.J.) told Chris Matthews on MSNBC's "Hardball" last night: "I have friends on the other side of the aisle."
The themes Booker hit, per Jonathan Swan: Condemning Trump on his divisiveness and defending John McCain against the president's attacks, plus openness to Republicans — that’s the Cory Booker campaign in a nutshell.
Be smart: Even that answer is revealing of Booker's eagerness to unify.
Out today from the prolific Evan Thomas, "First: Sandra Day O'Connor" (Random House) ... An astonishing feat of reporting: Over three years, Thomas and his wife, Oscie, interviewed 350 people, including 94 of Justice O'Connor's 108 law clerks, almost all on the record; and seven current and former justices.
Justice O’Connor ... moved — not dramatically, but measurably — in a leftward direction ... Some friends, particularly Westerners, have argued that her hearty Western individualism was altered by spending time hobnobbing with the Washington establishment ... Judge Laurence Silberman, an outspoken conservative on the U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit, suggested that O’Connor was co-opted by what he called the Greenhouse Effect, referring to the influential, liberal-minded New York Times Supreme Court correspondent Linda Greenhouse ...
Less than forty-eight hours after the Court’s decision [in Bush v. Gore], Justice O’Connor encouraged a mutual friend to recommend to Bush’s recount adviser Jim Baker that the president-elect "immediately communicate his intention to play down lavish inaugural celebrations, the high-profile parties with costly catering, the expensive parades with exotic floats, etc., and perhaps somehow redirect those celebration funds toward underwriting the costs of an extensive study of the election flaws and inconsistencies in this country." The suggestion went nowhere.
The long, puzzling relationship between President Trump and Deutsche Bank was tense and bitter behind the scenes, David Enrich, finance editor of the N.Y. Times, reveals in a 4,000-word opus, "A Mar-a-Lago Weekend and an Act of God":
"After Mr. Trump won the election, Deutsche Bank’s board of directors rushed to understand how the bank had become the biggest lender to the president-elect."
Former President George W. Bush, speaking yesterday at a naturalization ceremony in Dallas:
The United States of America is in many ways the most successful of nations. Historically, where immigration is concerned, we are also the most welcoming of nations. And these two facts are related. ...
Amid all the complications of policy, may we never forget that immigration is a blessing and a strength.
I hope those responsible in Washington can dial down the rhetoric, put politics aside, and modernize our immigration laws soon.
As president, I worked hard on comprehensive immigration reform, and I regret that our efforts came up short. Today, emotions can cloud the issue. But here at the Bush Center, we are clear-eyed about the need to enforce our borders and protect our homeland, and about the critical contributions immigrants make to our prosperity and to our way of life.
"France's EU Minister Names Her Cat 'Brexit' Because After He Cries To Go Out, He Won't Actually Leave." (@JoeMyGod; bowler tip: Ina Fried)