🇺🇸 Happy Fourth! As you go through your holiday, find someone to thank for making America such an amazing country.
Even some of the least diverse places in America are gaining racial and ethnic diversity, as America heads toward becoming majority non-white in 2045, Axios Visuals Editor Lazaro Gamio writes.
How we made this map: Using Census data, we calculated a diversity index for every U.S. county, going back to 2009. Each number represents the probability that two people chosen at random will be of a different race or ethnicity.
The big picture: The country as a whole has a diversity score of 57.3, which means that there is about a 57 percent chance that two people chosen at random will be of a different background.
Some notable exceptions:
Population isn't everything. Hawaii County, which encompasses the state's Big Island, has the highest diversity score of all counties we analyzed (77.8), with a population of just 196,000.
President Trump is considering an executive order to try to move forward with a citizenship question on the 2020 census, top sources tell Jonathan Swan and me.
Administration lawyers are exploring various legal options.
Why it matters: Trump's insistence on pushing ahead with the question, potentially without doing the legwork the Supreme Court called for, reflects his expansive view of executive power.
Former federal judge J. Michael Luttig, who has longtime ties to officials in the administration, told Axios:
How we got here: The Supreme Court voted last week to block a census question that asks: "Is this person a citizen of the United States?"
A reality TV host at heart, President Trump is promising the "show of a lifetime" for hundreds of thousands of revelers expected on the National Mall, per AP:
The run of show ... 6:20 p.m. ET: The president and First Lady Melania Trump arrive at the Lincoln Memorial ... 6:30 p.m.: Trump delivers "Salute to America" remarks. ... 7:40 p.m.: The Trumps return to the White House.
Soldiers move a Bradley Fighting Vehicle into place by the Lincoln Memorial.
How it's playing:
Workers install a security fence in the Reflecting Pool on the National Mall ahead of President Trump's speech.
Nike's young, male core customer in the U.S. drove the company's decision to recall a sneaker featuring an early American flag after Colin Kaepernick objected, The Wall Street Journal's John Stoll explains (subscription).
The data: "Analysis by market researcher YouGov indicates the company’s customers have consistently proven to be more likely than the broader population to support Mr. Kaepernick."
Between the lines: "Americus Reed, a marketing professor at the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School, [said] Nike sees in Mr. Kaepernick a figure reminiscent of Muhammad Ali."
Thank you for starting your holiday with Axios. I'm heading to North Carolina to celebrate with Scott, Sheri and their young men.
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