😎 Happy Monday! Today's Smart Brevity™ count: 1,172 words ... 4½ minutes.
Lots of Democrats are in full panic that Bernie Sanders will win the nomination and get clobbered in the general election — and bring the party down, too. But the evidence, particularly the polling, doesn't back those doomsday warnings, Axios CEO Jim VandeHei writes.
He’s socially savvier: Sanders has much larger followings on Facebook, Instagram, Twitter and other platforms than his rivals — and has consistently shown new media sophistication others lack.
Loyalty matters: The guy’s base writes checks regularly, for years now, making him the best-funded non-billionaire in the Democratic game. His supporters also show up — on social, at rallies, in elections. Ask Trump if this matters.
Socialism hasn’t killed him: It’s not like Sanders hides his big government socialism — he has screamed it to the nation for a half-decade. Maybe voters don’t care, just like 45% don’t care about Trump’s outlandishness.
Peter Hamby, who works for Snapchat and writes for Vanity Fair, argues "bed-wetting" Democrats might have it all wrong:
The bottom line: The truth is we are all clueless about what voters want or will accept. That includes everyone on Twitter, inside the Democratic establishment — and me!
Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios
Swing voters in four battleground states decisively oppose President Trump’s sweeping rollbacks of environmental regulations — but it’s unlikely to sway their votes, Axios' Amy Harder reports in her "Harder Line" column.
Focus groups in the four states were conducted by the nonpartisan research firms Engagious and Focus Pointe Global. These are small handfuls of voters, and don’t offer a statistically significant sample like a poll.
The big picture: The Florida voters' positions are squarely in line with national polling.
The intrigue: The Florida voters readily acknowledged sea level rise and increased flooding in their state, though it wasn’t a topic they brought up unprompted. They don’t prioritize this over other worries, despite living where global warming’s impact is most explicit.
New this morning: Axios' Alexi McCammond reports from a focus group on Port St. Lucie, Fla.
Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios. Photos: Getty Images
The White House and its allies have assembled detailed lists of disloyal government officials to oust — and trusted pro-Trump people to replace them, Axios' Jonathan Swan scooped in his Sunday night newsletter, Sneak Peek.
Why it matters: Since Trump's Senate acquittal, aides say the president has crossed a psychological line regarding what he calls the "Deep State."
Hundreds of thousands lined streets in India today as President Trump began a two-day visit with the ideologically aligned Prime Minister Narendra Modi — starting with a massive rally, then a sunset visit to the Taj Mahal, AP reports.
As the startup boom deflates, many hot young companies are facing a reckoning — layoffs, shutdowns, uncertainty — after a decade of prosperity, the N.Y. Times' Erin Griffith writes from San Francisco (subscription):
"[T]he layoffs have started coming in droves":
Rahm Emanuel — former Chicago mayor, now an ABC News contributor — draws on his own experiments, plus conversations with other innovative mayors, for "The Nation City: Why Mayors Are Now Running the World," out tomorrow:
Just when the federal government is distant, the local government is intimate. Just when the federal government is dysfunctional, the local government is impactful. Just when the federal government is indifferent, the local government is immediate.
Local governments are politically stable when our national governments are anything but.
Fun fact ... Three former mayors are still in the presidential race: Bernie Sanders (Burlington, Vt.), and, of course, Mike Bloomberg and Pete Buttigieg.
One in three people in Venezuela struggles to put enough food on the table to meet minimum nutrition requirements as the nation's severe economic contraction persists, according to the UN World Food Program, via AP.
It's a question spouses, domestic partners and roommates are going to be forced to confront in the next few weeks as they fill out their 2020 Census forms, AP's Mike Schneider writes: Who gets to be the primary person in the household?
Until 40 years ago, Person 1 was called "head of household" or "head of family."
📬 Have a great week! Please tell a friend about AM/PM.