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AP file photo

Forget the CBO report that says 23 million fewer people would have health coverage under the House health care bill — the number of uninsured people would only rise by 13 million people over 10 years, according to this new report by the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services actuary.

Why it matters: Republicans never believed the CBO estimate, and thought its uninsured estimates were wildly overestimated. The Medicare actuary's estimate is significantly lower — but it doesn't exactly hand the GOP a talking point.

The key numbers:

  • The coverage loss is mostly because 8 million fewer people would be eligible for Medicaid.
  • The bill would save $328 billion in federal spending over 10 years.
  • Gross premiums would be 13% lower in 10 years than under the Affordable Care Act.
  • But net premiums, after federal and state subsidies, would be 5% higher. And the amount of cost-sharing that people would have to pay would be 61% higher.

Go deeper

43 mins ago - Politics & Policy

Biden's latest executive order: Buy American

President Joe R. Biden speaks about the economy before signing executive orders in the State Dining Room at the White House on Friday, Jan 22, 2021 in Washington, DC. (Photo by Jabin Botsford/The Washington Post via Getty Images)

President Joe Biden will continue his flurry of executive orders on Monday, signing a new directive to require the federal government to “buy American” for products and services.

Why it matters: The executive action is yet another attempt by Biden to accomplish goals administratively without waiting for the backing of Congress. The new order echoes Biden's $400 billion campaign pledge to increase government purchases of American goods.

Tech digs in for long domestic terror fight

Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

With domestic extremist networks scrambling to regroup online, experts fear the next attack could come from a radicalized individual — much harder than coordinated mass events for law enforcement and platforms to detect or deter.

The big picture: Companies like Facebook and Twitter stepped up enforcement and their conversations with law enforcement ahead of Inauguration Day. But they'll be tested as the threat rises that impatient lone-wolf attackers will lash out.

The pandemic could be worsening childhood obesity

Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios

The 10-month long school closures and the coronavirus pandemic are expected to have a big impact on childhood obesity rates.

Why it matters: About one in five children are obese in the U.S. — an all-time high — with worsening obesity rates across income and racial and ethnic groups, data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey show.