If you're holding out hope that it will snow here again like it did on Jan. 19, 1977 — the last time it snowed in Tampa Bay — climate scientists say the odds are piled high against you.
Driving the news: The winter season isn't as cold as it was 50 years ago, according to Climate Central's latest winter weather analysis.
- Using 52 years of winter temperature data in 246 locations across the U.S., the scientists found that about 98% have seen an increase in average winter temperatures since 1970, with 84% of those locations warming by 2°F or more.
Details: In Tampa, only 16 days of winter were warmer than normal the year it snowed. In 2020, we had 57 warmer winter days than normal.
The big picture: Since 1970, winter is the fastest-warming season for most of the U.S.
- The analysis shows that over the past 50 years, average temperatures increased more in winter than in any other season for 38 out of 49 states.
Yes, but: There can still be cold winters. The likelihood of extreme cold is decreasing but is not zero, and some locations — like the Dakotas and Montana — actually got colder.
⛄️ So hold out hope. Wednesday is the first day of winter.

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