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Eurasia Group founder Ian Bremmer, whose new book, "Us vs. Them: The Failure of Globalism," is out tomorrow, broke down North Korean leader Kim Jong-un's recent promises to shut down his country's nuclear and missile testing for Axios.
The bottom line: With his trademark (non)-punctuation, Bremmer writes Axios future editor Steve LeVine, "kim wants to look solicitous right before the s korea and us summits. important for him that they go well — and it’s implausible that he’s actually going to denuclearize."
- "saying he doesn’t need more tests is essentially extending the suspension he already promised ... and even that is less than it seems (when n korea launches satellites in the future; they’ll certainly say those aren’t tests)."
- The big picture: "there’s a good chance the trump meeting goes well. and trump announces 'success.' what exactly that means is another question entirely."