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Illustration: Rebecca Zisser/Axios

Primary races in eight states tonight will be the biggest test yet of whether 2018 is really the year of the woman.

  • Alabama, Iowa, and New Mexico could all nominate Democratic women for governor. Some of California's competitive congressional races could advance two women. And New Mexico's Deb Haaland could be one step closer to becoming the first Native American congresswoman.

Be smart: Women have over-performed in Democratic primaries by 15%, Cook Political Report's Dave Wasserman points out.

Women watch
  • The incumbent governors in Alabama, Iowa, and New Mexico are all Republican women. Each state's Democratic primary has a woman candidate, and there's a woman running in South Dakota's GOP primary for the state's open seat.
  • New Mexico could elect the first Native American woman to the U.S. House if Deb Haaland makes it past tomorrow's primary and the November general election.
  • Two women could make it to the general election in California's 45th district and potentially (though not likely) in the 49th district. There are Democratic women endorsed by EMILY's List in six other districts in the state.
  • Iowa could advance two women in the first and third districts — both are endorsed by EMILY's List.
  • Alabama's 2nd district could send its incumbent Republican Rep. Martha Roby home after seven years. She won in 2016 with less than 50% of the vote because she didn't support Trump after the "Access Hollywood" tape came out.
  • Mikie Sherrill is leading the Democratic primary in New Jersey's 11th district. She's got the backing of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, Joe Biden, Planned Parenthood and has raised $1.8M.

One more thing: Don't ignore the GOP primary for U.S. Senate in Montana, where four Republicans are facing off to challenge incumbent Sen. Jon Tester, who became even more vulnerable after the president tweeted that Tester should resign.

  • National Republican groups like Club for Growth have spent over $1.5 million for Matt Rosendale, and he's earned endorsements from conservative Sens. Ted Cruz, Rand Paul and Mike Lee. None of the Republican challengers are anything like Don Blankenship, who would have made it easier for a vulnerable Democrat to keep his seat.

Go deeper

Updated 11 mins ago - Politics & Policy

Arizona Republicans censure Cindy McCain and GOP governor

Combination images of Cindy McCain and Gov. Doug Ducey. Photo: FilmMagic/FilmMagic for U.S.VETS/Michael Brochstein/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images

Arizona Republican Party members voted on Saturday to censure prominent GOP figures Cindy McCain, Gov. Doug Ducey and former Sen. Jeff Flake (R-Ariz.), who've all faced clashes with former President Trump, per AZCentral.

Why it matters: Although the resolution is symbolic, this move plus the re-election of Trump loyalist Kelli Ward as state GOP chair shows the strong hold the former president has on the party in Arizona, despite President Biden winning the state in the 2020 election.

Updated 4 hours ago - Politics & Policy

Coronavirus dashboard

Illustration: Eniola Odetunde/Axios

  1. Health: Most vulnerable Americans aren't getting enough vaccine information — Fauci says Trump administration's lack of facts on COVID "very likely" cost lives.
  2. Education: Schools face an uphill battle to reopen during the pandemic.
  3. Vaccine: Florida requiring proof of residency to get vaccine — CDC extends interval between vaccine doses for exceptional cases.
  4. World: Hong Kong puts tens of thousands on lockdown as cases surge — Pfizer to supply 40 million vaccine doses to lower-income countries — Brazil begins distributing AstraZeneca vaccine.
  5. Sports: 2021 Tokyo Olympics hang in the balance.
  6. 🎧 Podcast: Carbon Health's CEO on unsticking the vaccine bottleneck.

DOJ: Capitol rioter threatened to "assassinate" Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Supporters of former President Trump storm the U.S. Captiol on Jan. 6. Photo: Kent Nishimura / Los Angeles Times via Getty Images

A Texas man who has been charged with storming the U.S. Capitol in the deadly Jan. 6 siege posted death threats against Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.), the Department of Justice said.

The big picture: Garret Miller faces five charges in connection to the riot by supporters of former President Trump, including violent entry and disorderly conduct on Capitol grounds and making threats. According to court documents, Miller posted violent threats online the day of the siege, including tweeting “Assassinate AOC.”