AP photos

The moderates are mostly on board with the House bill after the proposed changes released by leadership Monday night, Rep. Tom MacArthur (R-NJ) told reporters on Tuesday:

"Does every group get everything they want? No. But if you're negotiating in good faith and you get a large amount of what you want, it's time to - it's time to come around the bill and try to get others around the bill."

The changes getting them to yes deal with increasing tax credits and Medicaid funding for older, lower-income people. "I believe the majority [of the Tuesday Group] will be behind the bill," MacArthur said.

Leadership and the White House have figured all along the moderates will get behind the bill. They're generally reliable team players, despite being forced to make multiple tough votes over the years.

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Coronavirus surge is sinking consumer confidence

Data: Hamilton Place Strategies, CivicScience; Chart: Axios Visuals

The rise in coronavirus cases in certain parts of the U.S. is stunting confidence across the country, a crop of new reports show.

Driving the news: After stalling during the previous two-week period, overall economic sentiment declined for the first time in two months, according to the Economic Sentiment Index, a biweekly survey from data firm CivicScience and Hamilton Place Strategies (HPS).

Updated 2 hours ago - Politics & Policy

Coronavirus dashboard

Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

  1. Politics: Obama: Trump is "jealous of COVID's media coverage."
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  3. Business: Coronavirus testing is a windfall. Winter threat spurs new surge of startup activity.
  4. Media: Pandemic causes TV providers to lose the most subscribers ever.
  5. World: Putin mandates face masks.

The GOP's monstrous math problem

Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

Republicans, win or lose next week, face a big — and growing — math problem.

The state of play: They're relying almost exclusively on a shrinking demographic (white men), living in shrinking areas (small, rural towns), creating a reliance on people with shrinking incomes (white workers without college degrees) to survive.