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President Trump said the executive order he signed today is just the beginning of the administration's effort to reshape the health care system, and it's clear where that effort is leading: toward a broader market for insurance plans that are less generous and less expensive.

The bottom line: The substance of Trump's executive order is about what we expected, and many of the details will still have to be worked out through regulations. Broadly, though, it would expand access to more loosely regulated insurance options with low premiums, and some experts say those changes could undermine the Affordable Care Act's insurance markets.

What's next: There are still plenty of big outstanding questions about how each of these policies would work, which federal agencies will have to fill in through regulations. (The executive order itself is just a set of marching orders to those agencies.) That's a long process, and insurance companies have already finalized their most of their offerings for 2018, so these changes won't be reflected in actual insurance plans until 2019.

The details: Trump's executive order does three big things:

  • Expand access to association health plans, in which a group of small employers can band together to buy insurance as a collective.
  • Expand access to short-term health plans. These policies don't cover much and don't cost much; today, you can only keep one for three months. Trump will extend that time limit to a year.
  • Expand the use of health reimbursement accounts, which allow employers to set aside tax-free money to help cover their employees' health care costs. Workers will likely be able to tap that money to pay the premiums for a plan in the individual market.

The reviews: Conservatives are thrilled. Sen. Rand Paul, a champion of association health plans, was at the White House for the signing.

But many independent policy analysts are less enthusiastic. They worry that these changes will divert healthy people into cheaper policies outside the ACA's exchanges, leaving those markets with a sicker and more expensive customer base, which would cause premiums to rise.

Go deeper

Flooding paradise: Island nations' climate threat

Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios

GLASGOW, Scotland — By the time many of the pledges made in Glasgow this week are met (or not), some of the participating countries may no longer exist.

Driving the news: The world’s 40-some small island states have used COP26 to plead for more urgent action — while there's still time — and to confront world powers like the U.S. and China with the devastation their emissions have caused.

Book: Trump threatened to leave GOP but backed down after RNC threat

Former President Trump told the Republican National Committee chair that he was leaving the GOP to create his own new political party, according to a new book by ABC's Jonathan Karl.

Driving the news: Trump, who had said "he didn't care" about destroying the GOP, ultimately backed down after party leaders told him they would take actions that could have cost the former president millions of dollars, Karl told ABC's Good Morning America.

Negotiations at COP26 are about to get a lot tougher

Photo illustration: Maura Losch/Axios. Photo: Christopher Furlong/Getty Images

GLASGOW, Scotland — The drumbeat of public and private announcements during the first week of COP26, including big moves on deforestation and methane emissions, are now giving way to a more formal, contentious and political phase.

Why it matters: The summit is viewed as a key test of the notion that all countries of the world can work together through a voluntary system to rein in global warming before it worsens more significantly.

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