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Data: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta; Chart: Axios Visuals

The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow forecasting tool has been steadily increasing estimates of this year's first quarter GDP. The initial reading was an unimpressive 0.3% on March 1. The forecast is updated as pertinent economic data is released.

By the numbers: The most impactful readings were the March 22 U.S. wholesale trade and existing home sales reports, which increased the expected GDP reading from 0.6% to 1.2%, and the April 1 retail trade, ISM manufacturing and construction spending reports, which raised expectations from 1.7% to 2.1%.

Go deeper: The global push to reinvent GDP

Go deeper

Post-debate poll finds Biden strong on every major issue

Joe Biden speaks Friday about "The Biden Plan to Beat COVID-19," at The Queen theater in Wilmington, Del. Photo: Drew Angerer/Getty Images

This is one of the bigger signs of trouble for President Trump that we've seen in a poll: Of the final debate's seven topics, Joe Biden won or tied on all seven when viewers in a massive Axios-SurveyMonkey sample were asked who they trusted more to handle the issue.

Why it matters: In a time of unprecedented colliding crises for the nation, the polling considered Biden to be vastly more competent.

Bryan Walsh, author of Future
4 hours ago - Science

The murder hornets are here

A braver man than me holds a speciment of the Asian giant hornet. Photo: Karen Ducey/Getty Images

Entomologists in Washington state on Thursday discovered the first Asian giant hornet nest in the U.S.

Why it matters: You may know this insect species by its nom de guerre: "the murder hornet." While the threat they pose to humans has been overstated, the invading hornets could decimate local honeybee populations if they establish themselves.