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The French town of Donzy that has correctly predicted presidential elections for the past four decades went for Marine Le Pen, the right-wing nationalist, in the first round.

Expand chart
Data: FranceInfo; Chart: Andrew Witherspoon / Axios

Breaking down the numbers: Emmanuel Macron, a centrist and former economy minister, won nationally by about 2%, but Donzy backed Le Pen by more than 7%.

Why it matters: Donzy has historically been a bellwether, and if it's right this year we're just two weeks from President Le Pen. That's despite predictions from top pollsters that Macron will win easily. That said, neither Macron nor Le Pen are representing traditional parties, so the Donzy Rule may not hold.

Go deeper

USAID chief tests positive for coronavirus

An Air Force cargo jet delivers USAID supplies to Russia earlier this year. Photo: Mikhail Metzel/TASS via Getty Images

The acting administrator of the United States Agency for International Development informed senior staff Wednesday he has tested positive for coronavirus, two sources familiar with the call tell Axios.

Why it matters: John Barsa, who staffers say rarely wears a mask in their office, is the latest in a series of senior administration officials to contract the virus. His positive diagnosis comes amid broader turmoil at the agency following the election.

Bryan Walsh, author of Future
5 hours ago - Health

COVID-19 shows a bright future for vaccines

Illustration: Annelise Capossela/Axios

Promising results from COVID-19 vaccine trials offer hope not just that the pandemic could be ended sooner than expected, but that medicine itself may have a powerful new weapon.

Why it matters: Vaccines are, in the words of one expert, "the single most life-saving innovation ever," but progress had slowed in recent years. New gene-based technology that sped the arrival of the COVID vaccine will boost the overall field, and could even extend to mass killers like cancer.

7 hours ago - Health

Beware a Thanksgiving mirage

Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

Don't be surprised if COVID metrics plunge over the next few days, only to spike next week.

Why it matters: The COVID Tracking Project warns of a "double-weekend pattern" on Thanksgiving — where the usual weekend backlog of data is tacked on to a holiday.