Steven Senne / AP

Seven experts responded to a NYT request to predict what the Congressional Budget Office might say about the Republican Obamacare replacement bill in five different areas: long-term costs, how many people will lose health insurance, how much premiums will change, how many people will lose Medicaid coverage, and how employer-based insurance will change.

What stood out to us:

  • Most experts surveyed expect premiums to rise under the GOP plan.
  • All of the experts who responded think Americans will lose coverage, but the question remains: How many? They also all think Medicaid enrollment will drop, likely due to the fact that the bill cuts federal funding for the program.
  • The jury is still out on how the bill will affect the number of Americans who use employer-based insurance. This number is a little bit of a dark horse, since the GOP bill doesn't directly touch employer insurance, but could have big political consequences if it shows this market will be impacted.

Why it matters: Last week the Republicans' plan made it through two committees — but it had no CBO score, and the Republicans are trying to pass the plan through reconciliation, which requires the CBO to say it will save the federal budget at least $2 billion over 10 years. That score is expected to roll out this week, but if long term costs are higher than they are now, not only is that bad, but the bill must also be changed to hit the $2 billion savings target.

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Trump tightens screws on ByteDance to sell Tiktok

Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios

President Trump added more pressure Friday night on China-based TikTok parent ByteDance to exit the U.S., ordering it to divest all assets related to the U.S. operation of TikTok within 90 days.

Between the lines: The order means ByteDance must be wholly disentangled from TikTok in the U.S. by November. Trump had previously ordered TikTok banned if ByteDance hadn't struck a deal within 45 days. The new order likely means ByteDance has just another 45 days after that to fully close the deal, one White House source told Axios.

Updated 4 hours ago - Politics & Policy

Coronavirus dashboard

Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios

  1. Global: Total confirmed cases as of 9:30 p.m. ET: 21,056,850 — Total deaths: 762,293— Total recoveries: 13,100,902Map.
  2. U.S.: Total confirmed cases as of 9:30 p.m ET: 5,306,215 — Total deaths: 168,334 — Total recoveries: 1,796,309 — Total tests: 65,676,624Map.
  3. Health: CDC: Survivors of COVID-19 have up to three months of immunity Fauci believes normalcy will return by "the end of 2021" with vaccine — The pandemic's toll on mental health — FDA releases first-ever list of medical supplies in shortage.
  4. States: California passes 600,000 confirmed coronavirus cases.
  5. Cities: Coronavirus pandemic dims NYC's annual 9/11 Tribute in Light.
  6. Business: How small businesses got stiffed — Unemployment starts moving in the right direction.
  7. Politics: Biden signals fall strategy with new ads.

Harris: "Women are going to be a priority" in Biden administration

Sen. Kamala Harris at an event in Wilmington, Del. Photo: Drew Angerer/Getty Images

In her first sit-down interview since being named Joe Biden's running mate, Sen. Kamala Harris talked about what she'll do to fight for women if elected VP, and how the Democrats are thinking about voter turnout strategies ahead of November.

What they're saying: "In a Biden-Harris administration women are going to be a priority, understanding that women have many priorities and all of them must be acknowledged," Harris told The 19th*'s Errin Haines-Whack.