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Estimate: Cassidy-Graham will cause 32 million to lose insurance after 10 years

The Cassidy-Graham bill would cause millions to lose insurance, a new estimate says. Photo: J. Scott Applewhite/AP

An estimate released today by the Brookings Institution found the Cassidy-Graham health care plan would cause 32 million people to lose health coverage in 2027 and beyond compared to current law. Over the next two years, 15 million would lose coverage. Then, from 2020-2027, 21 million would lose coverage, which Brookings said is a conservative estimate.

Why this matters: This could give Senate GOP holdouts yet another reason to oppose the bill. Brookings is a liberal think tank, but it has been pretty close to the mark in predicting other Congressional Budget Office estimates. (We won't get an official CBO estimate of coverage losses for Graham-Cassidy because there's not enough time.) Just as importantly, it reiterates the fact that we really don't know how states would react.

Mike Allen 2 hours ago
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A White House olive branch: no plan to fire Mueller

Photo: Jim Watson / AFP / Getty Images

After a weekend at war with the Mueller investigation, the White House is extending an olive branch. Ty Cobb, the White House lawyer handling the probe, plans to issue this statement:

“In response to media speculation and related questions being posed to the Administration, the White House yet again confirms that the President is not considering or discussing the firing of the Special Counsel, Robert Mueller.”

Why it matters: The White House strategy had been to cooperate with Mueller. So this is an effort to turn down the temperature after a weekend of increasingly personal provocations aimed at the special counsel.

Jonathan Swan 4 hours ago
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Trump's trade plan that would blow up the WTO

President Trump announces tariffs on steel and aluminum earlier this month, flanked by Steven Mnuchin, Wilbur Ross, Robert Lighthizer, and Peter Navarro. Photo: Chip Somodevilla / Getty Images

For months, President Donald Trump has been badgering his economic advisors to give him broad, unilateral authority to raise tariffs — a move that would all but break the World Trade Organization.

His favorite word: “reciprocal.” He’s always complaining to staff about the fact that the U.S. has much lower tariffs on some foreign goods than other countries have on the same American-made goods. The key example is cars: The European Union has a 10 percent tariff on all cars, including those manufactured in America, and China hits all foreign-made cars with 25 percent tariffs. But the U.S. only charges 2.5 percent for foreign cars we import.