Nov 8, 2018

Early voting was way up in some Trump states

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Data: AP; Chart: Naema Ahmed/Axios 

President Trump won four of the six states where early voting in 2018 increased by 200% from the 2014 midterm elections.

Why it matters: It means voters in those red states — Georgia, Oklahoma, Indiana and Utah — are energized and highly motivated to vote in 2020. That's something Democratic presidential candidates will have to factor into their plans, because these voters are likely to be even more motivated when Trump is actually on the ballot.

Between the lines: Midterm elections always have low voter turnout. But 2018 showed some of the conditions that can make midterms exciting again: a record number of women and diverse candidates running for office; the president's heightened involvement in races and presence on the campaign trail; and a nationalized election.

By the numbers: As the chart above shows, 30 states exceeded their 2014 early vote totals, and many of them reached numbers three and four times what we saw in the last midterm cycle.

Correction: This post has been corrected to remove a reference to early voting in Missouri, which doesn't allow standard early voting, but does allow absentee voting before Election Day with a valid excuse.

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Mike Bloomberg declines to file for Nevada caucuses

Presidential candidate Michael Bloomberg. Photo: Bastiaan Slabbers/NurPhoto via Getty Images

2020 candidate Michael Bloomberg will not appear on the ballot in Nevada's Democratic caucuses next month after failing to file with the state's party by the Jan. 1 deadline, AP reports.

The big picture: Bloomberg is planning to skip the four early states, including Nevada, per AP. The former New York City mayor is instead setting his sights on states with a large number of delegates, like California and other Super Tuesday states.

Go deeperArrowJan 2, 2020

Exclusive poll: Black Americans motivated by Trump to vote in 2020

Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios

A majority of black Americans are more interested in voting in the 2020 presidential election than they were in 2016, according to a national survey of 1200 black voters and non-voters conducted by Third Way and the Joint Center.

Why it matters: Black voter turnout declined significantly in 2016 nationally and in key swing states, ultimately contributing to Hillary Clinton's loss to Donald Trump. New details from focus groups and polling suggests that the motivation to remove Trump from office is firing up black Americans to head to the polls next November.

Go deeperArrowDec 30, 2019

Nearly 100,000 Georgia voters to remain purged from voting rolls

"I'm a Georgia voter" stickers. Photo: Chris Rank/Corbis via Getty Images

A federal judge on Friday denied an effort led by the voting rights group Fair Fight Action to return roughly 98,000 Georgia voters to the state's voter rolls.

What's happening: This ruling is part of a larger initiative for the state to cancel approximately 300,000 inactive voter registrations, due to those voters moving away or not participating in elections.

Go deeperArrowDec 28, 2019