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Expand chart
Data: AP; Chart: Naema Ahmed/Axios 

President Trump won four of the six states where early voting in 2018 increased by 200% from the 2014 midterm elections.

Why it matters: It means voters in those red states — Georgia, Oklahoma, Indiana and Utah — are energized and highly motivated to vote in 2020. That's something Democratic presidential candidates will have to factor into their plans, because these voters are likely to be even more motivated when Trump is actually on the ballot.

Between the lines: Midterm elections always have low voter turnout. But 2018 showed some of the conditions that can make midterms exciting again: a record number of women and diverse candidates running for office; the president's heightened involvement in races and presence on the campaign trail; and a nationalized election.

By the numbers: As the chart above shows, 30 states exceeded their 2014 early vote totals, and many of them reached numbers three and four times what we saw in the last midterm cycle.

Correction: This post has been corrected to remove a reference to early voting in Missouri, which doesn't allow standard early voting, but does allow absentee voting before Election Day with a valid excuse.

Go deeper

Off the Rails

Episode 2: Barbarians at the Oval

Photo illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios. Photo: Jim Watson/AFP/Getty Images

Beginning on election night 2020 and continuing through his final days in office, Donald Trump unraveled and dragged America with him, to the point that his followers sacked the U.S. Capitol with two weeks left in his term. This Axios series takes you inside the collapse of a president.

Episode 2: Trump stops buying what his professional staff are telling him, and increasingly turns to radical voices telling him what he wants to hear. Read episode 1.

President Trump plunked down in an armchair in the White House residence, still dressed from his golf game — navy fleece, black pants, white MAGA cap. It was Saturday, Nov. 7. The networks had just called the election for Joe Biden.

Fringe right plots new attacks out of sight

Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios

Domestic extremists are using obscure and private corners of the internet to plot new attacks ahead of Inauguration Day. Their plans are also hidden in plain sight, buried in podcasts and online video platforms.

Why it matters: Because law enforcement was caught flat-footed during last week's Capitol siege, researchers and intelligence agencies are paying more attention to online threats that could turn into real-world violence.

Kids’ screen time up 50% during pandemic

Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

When the coronavirus lockdowns started in March, kidstech firm SuperAwesome found that screen time was up 50%. Nearly a year later, that percentage hasn't budged, according to new figures from the firm.

Why it matters: For most parents, pre-pandemic expectations around screen time are no longer realistic. The concern now has shifted from the number of hours in front of screens to the quality of screen time.