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Downed warplane widens Russia-Turkey rift

wreckage of Russian warplane after it was shot down
The Russian Sukhoi-25 fighter jet downed in Syria's northwest province of Idlib on February 3, 2018. Photo: Omar Haj Kadour / AFP / Getty Images

Relations between Russia and Turkey took a hit last week after a Russian warplane was shot down over Idlib province by Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), a Syrian al-Qaeda offshoot allied with Turkey.

Why it matters: HTS used a “man-portable air-defense system” (MANPAD), a shoulder-fired missile system the U.S. has refused to provide to Kurdish militias, fearing it could fall into the hands of extremists. The terror group likely received the weapon from Turkey.

The Russian plane's downing followed a joint attack by HTS and Turkish troops that undermined a Russian-led “de-escalation zone.” In response, Russia has blocked Turkish fighter jets and drones from entering Syrian air space.

The bottom line: Syrian peace talks in Astana have already collapsed as a result of Turkish aggression, including the recent unprovoked attacks on Kurdish civilians in Afrin. This setback in Russia-Turkey relations increases tensions between countries vying for influence in Syria. In a region where "the enemy of my enemy is my friend," it may improve U.S.–Russia relations, catalyzing greater cooperation between Washington and Moscow in UN-brokered negotiations.

David L. Phillips is director of the Program on Peace-building and Rights at Columbia University’s Institute for the Study of Human Rights.

Shannon Vavra 13 mins ago
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Trump: “Very honorable” Kim Jong-un wants to meet ASAP

Trump gestures.
Photo: Nicholas Kamm/AFP/Getty Images

President Trump said that North Korean leader Kim Jong-un was “very honorable” and “very open," adding that North Korea wants to hold a meeting "as soon as possible." His comments came during an expanded bilateral meeting during French President Emmanuel Macron's state visit.

Flashback to January: "Will someone from his depleted and food starved regime please inform him that I too have a Nuclear Button, but it is a much bigger & more powerful one than his, and my Button works!"

Shannon Vavra 1 hour ago
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Trump threatens Iran during Macron meeting

Photo: Brendan Smialowski/AFP/Getty Images

Trump said if Iran attempts to restart its nuclear program if the U.S. pulls out of the nuclear deal, "they will have bigger problems than they have ever had before.”

  • Backdrop: The comments came ahead of an Oval Office meeting with French President Emmanuel Macron, in which Macron is expected to attempt to convince Trump to remain in the nuclear deal. Iran's foreign minister has said Iran will restart its nuclear program if Trump decides to stop waiving sanctions next month.
  • Worth noting: Asked about whether he’d consider pardoning Michael Cohen, Trump replied “stupid question,” to Macron’s apparent amusement.