2020 foretold: Women, health care and an urgent Medicare crisis

Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

Something big is happening beneath the noise of tweets and Trump rage: The contours of the 2020 Democratic message and approach are taking form.

The big picture: You see it in the unprecedented rise of women running (for governor, Senate and House) and winning, and reports of female turnout spiking. (At least 59 women, most of them Democrats, won in Tuesday's primaries, per NBC News.)

  • You see it in candidate after candidate embracing Bernie Sanders' Medicare for All, creating a new litmus test for 2020 hopefuls.
  • You see it in reports on the health of Medicare and deficits, creating the near-certainty that candidates will have to face an entitlement program running out of cash just as the Trump deficits are hitting $1 trillion.
  • You see it in rising health care premiums and in polls showing voters care more about this topic than impeachment or trade wars. An NBC/Wall Street Journal poll out this morning finds health care coming as the most important issue (22%), just ahead of the economy and jobs (19%).

Be smart: This is a lot like Hillary’s message in 2016 — with an even bigger government solution health care twist. That didn’t work so well for her. 

Go deeper: Axios' Sam Baker examines one of these fronts, "The next health care war is already starting"

What's next

University of Minnesota student jailed in China over tweets

Xi Jinping. Photo: Noel Celis - Pool/ Getty Images

A University of Minnesota student has been arrested in China and sentenced to six months in prison for tweets he posted while in the United States, according to a Chinese court document viewed by Axios. Some of the tweets contained images deemed to be unflattering portrayals of a "national leader."

Why it matters: The case represents a dramatic escalation of the Chinese government's attempts to shut down free speech abroad, and a global expansion of a Chinese police campaign a year ago to track down Twitter users in China who posted content critical of the Chinese government.

Go deeperArrow9 mins ago - World

⚖️ Live updates: Opening arguments begin in Trump impeachment trial

The second day of the Senate impeachment trial of President Trump will see a full day of opening arguments from Democratic House impeachment managers.

What to watch for: Democrats now have 24 hours — spread out over three days — to take their time to lay out their case against the president's alleged abuse of power and obstruction of Congress. It'll also allow them to highlight gaps that could be filled out by additional witnesses and documents from the administration.

This post will be updated with new developments as the trial continues.

Go deeperArrowJan 21, 2020 - Politics

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